Football · Finland Kolmonen · 18/09, 18:00

Prediction: PiPS vs JyTy

Team pages: PiPS · JyTy

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.19Total

PiPS1.77

JyTy1.42

1X2

46% 24% 31%

PiPS Draw JyTy

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

PiPS 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LDLLLLLWWW

JyTy 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WLDLWDLWDL

Head-to-head

PiPS 1–0 JyTy (1 last)

JyTy0-1PiPS

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · PiPS 1482 · JyTy 1459

	PiPS	Draw	JyTy
Our model	45%	25%	30%
Market	46%	23%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 3.19 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	PiPS	JyTy
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.3	1.2 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.6	0.5 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	14/29/57%	13/25/63%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 6	1.3 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.1 / 0.4	3.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.95

X4.00

22.88

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
02:57 +4’	1.95	4.00	2.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · PiPS 1–0–0 JyTy

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/06/26 Finland Kolmonen	JyTy	0-1 HT 0-0	PiPS

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	EuPa	19	13	4	2	39	13	43
2	IFK Mariehamn II	19	12	3	4	44	20	39
3	PIF Parainen	19	10	4	5	35	23	34
4	Peimari United	19	8	8	3	33	21	32
5	LTU	19	9	3	7	27	23	30
6	SAPA/2	20	9	3	8	31	31	30
7	MaPS	19	9	2	8	35	29	29
8	VG-62	18	7	0	11	24	28	21
9	KaaPo	19	7	0	12	31	42	21
10	PiPS	19	5	2	12	20	40	17
11	JyTy	19	4	4	11	21	45	16
12	ACF	19	2	5	12	17	42	11

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	PiPS	JyTy
KaaPo	3-1 W	2-1 W
PIF Parainen	1-0 W	1-3 L
MaPS	2-1 W	1-1 D
EuPa	1-4 L	1-1 D
LTU	2-4 L	1-3 L
IFK Mariehamn II	1-3 L	1-1 D
Peimari United	2-2 D	0-2 L
VG-62	0-3 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 4 L	2 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: PiPS (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

PiPS

LDLLLLLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	KaaPo Finland Kolmonen	0-0	3-1	12	3	W
04/09	PIF Parainen Finland Kolmonen	–	1-0	–	–	W
28/08	MaPS Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-1	2	4	W
20/08	SalPa 2 Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-3	3	3	L
14/08	ACF Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-2	11	0	L
08/08	EuPa Finland Kolmonen	–	1-4	–	–	L
31/07	LTU Finland Kolmonen	–	2-4	–	–	L
25/07	IFK Mariehamn II Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-3	5	3	L
25/06	Peimari United Finland Kolmonen	0-1	2-2	5	2	D
17/06	VG-62 Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-3	4	3	L

JyTy

WLDLWDLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	LTU Finland Kolmonen	1-2	1-3	4	5	L
05/09	IFK Mariehamn II Finland Kolmonen	–	1-1	–	–	D
26/08	VG-62 Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-1	4	1	W
22/08	Peimari United Finland Kolmonen	–	0-2	–	–	L
15/08	EuPa Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-1	10	2	D
06/08	KaaPo Finland Kolmonen	0-1	2-1	2	7	W
01/08	PIF Parainen Finland Kolmonen	0-2	1-3	3	5	L
23/07	MaPS Finland Kolmonen	1-1	1-1	6	2	D
18/07	IFK Mariehamn II Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-5	6	1	L
01/07	SAPA/2 Finland Kolmonen	1-1	3-2	0	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in PiPS vs JyTy?

According to our model, the most likely result is a PiPS win (46%). Probabilities: PiPS 46%, draw 24%, JyTy 31%.

How many goals are expected in PiPS vs JyTy?

The model expects 3.19 goals (PiPS 1.77 · JyTy 1.42), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in PiPS vs JyTy?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.