Football · Finland Kolmonen · 14/08, 17:30

Prediction: KaaPo vs Peimari United

Team pages: KaaPo · Peimari United

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.94Total

KaaPo1.94

Peimari United2

1X2

38% 22% 40%

KaaPo Draw Peimari United

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

KaaPo 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WWWLWWLLLL

Peimari United 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DDWLLDDDWW

Head-to-head

KaaPo 2–1–3 Peimari United (6 last)

Peimari United5-2KaaPo
KaaPo2-3Peimari United
Peimari United1-1KaaPo
KaaPo2-0Peimari United
KaaPo3-2Peimari United
Peimari United1-0KaaPo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KaaPo 1469 · Peimari United 1536

	KaaPo	Draw	Peimari United
Our model	38%	22%	40%
Market	38%	22%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 3.94 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Peimari United (rating 1469 vs 1536).
H2H favours Peimari United: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	KaaPo	Peimari United
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.9	1.7 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.5	1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	63/25/13%	57/29/14%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.5	2.1 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.3	3.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.40

X4.00

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.98

2 (0)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.82

Under 3.51.98

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 08:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.40▲	Bet365 2.40
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.60 → 2.25▼	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
07:08 +8’	2.10	4.00	2.60
08:25 +2’	2.40▲	4.00	2.25▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · KaaPo 2–1–3 Peimari United

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Finland Kolmonen	Peimari United	5-2	KaaPo
13/09/25 Finland Kolmonen	KaaPo	2-3 HT 2-1	Peimari United
07/06/25 Finland Kolmonen	Peimari United	1-1 HT 1-0	KaaPo
11/04/24 Finland Kolmonen	KaaPo	2-0 HT 1-0	Peimari United
25/08/23 Finland Kolmonen	KaaPo	3-2 HT 0-1	Peimari United
13/05/23 Finland Kolmonen	Peimari United	1-0 HT 1-0	KaaPo

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IFK Mariehamn II	14	11	1	2	38	13	34
2	EuPa	14	10	2	2	32	10	32
3	PIF Parainen	13	8	2	3	27	14	26
4	VG-62	13	7	0	6	19	17	21
5	SalPa 2	15	6	3	6	20	20	21
6	MaPS	14	6	2	6	23	24	20
7	LTU	15	6	2	7	18	20	20
8	Peimari United	14	4	7	3	23	18	19
9	KaaPo	14	6	0	8	26	30	18
10	JyTy	14	3	2	9	16	37	11
11	ACF	14	1	5	8	11	30	8
12	PiPS	14	2	2	10	13	33	8

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KaaPo	Peimari United
JyTy	1-2 L	2-2 D
EuPa	1-4 L	1-1 D
PIF Parainen	2-4 L	3-0 W
SalPa 2	0-2 L	1-1 D
MaPS	2-1 W	2-1 W
ACF	5-3 W	2-2 D
PiPS	0-1 L	2-2 D
LTU	2-0 W	0-1 L
IFK Mariehamn II	2-1 W	1-3 L
VG-62	3-1 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 5 L	3 W 5 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Peimari United (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KaaPo

WWWLWWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/08	JyTy Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-2	2	7	L
01/08	EuPa Finland Kolmonen	–	1-4	–	–	L
22/07	PIF Parainen Finland Kolmonen	2-1	2-4	1	3	L
23/06	SalPa 2 Finland Kolmonen	0-2	0-2	4	3	L
17/06	MaPS Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-1	10	9	W
12/06	ACF Finland Kolmonen	2-0	5-3	5	1	W
03/06	PiPS Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-1	7	0	L
29/05	LTU Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-0	7	3	W
23/05	IFK Mariehamn II Finland Kolmonen	–	2-1	–	–	W
14/05	VG-62 Finland Kolmonen	1-1	3-1	0	5	W

Peimari United

DDWLLDDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	PIF Parainen Finland Kolmonen	–	3-0	–	–	W
31/07	MaPS Finland Kolmonen	2-0	2-1	2	4	W
25/07	SalPa 2 Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-1	4	4	D
25/06	PiPS Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-2	3	2	D
17/06	ACF Finland Kolmonen	1-1	2-2	6	3	D
13/06	LTU Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-1	7	2	L
06/06	IFK Mariehamn II Finland Kolmonen	–	1-3	–	–	L
29/05	VG-62 Finland Kolmonen	–	3-1	–	–	W
20/05	EuPa Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-1	3	4	D
15/05	JyTy Finland Kolmonen	1-2	2-2	7	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KaaPo vs Peimari United?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Peimari United win (40%). Probabilities: KaaPo 38%, draw 22%, Peimari United 40%.

How many goals are expected in KaaPo vs Peimari United?

The model expects 3.94 goals (KaaPo 1.94 · Peimari United 2), with a 54% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in KaaPo vs Peimari United?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.