Football · Finland Kolmonen · 22/07, 17:30

Prediction: KaaPo vs PIF Parainen

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.32Total
KaaPo1.12
PIF Parainen2.19
1X2
18% 20% 62%
KaaPo Draw PIF Parainen
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
KaaPo 6-0-4 (W-D-L)
LWLWWWLWWL
PIF Parainen 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WLDLWWWDWL
Head-to-head
KaaPo 3–1–2 PIF Parainen (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KaaPo 1521 · PIF Parainen 1528
KaaPoDrawPIF Parainen
Our model18%22%61%
Market19%19%62%
Estimated total (ours) 3.32 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours KaaPo: 3-1-2.
  • High corners: 13.7 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

KaaPoPIF Parainen
Goals for / against (FT)2.2 / 1.61.6 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)1.1 / 0.60.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)57/29/14%38/50/13%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 6.13.7 / 7.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 0.12.6 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · KaaPo 312 PIF Parainen

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DateHomeScoreAway
18/04/26
Finland Kolmonen
PIF Parainen4-0KaaPo
04/10/25
Finland Kolmonen
PIF Parainen1-2KaaPo
04/07/25
Finland Kolmonen
KaaPo1-2
HT 0-1
PIF Parainen
28/09/24
Finland Kolmonen
PIF Parainen2-2
HT 1-1
KaaPo
27/08/21
Finland Kakkonen Group B
KaaPo4-0
HT 2-0
PIF Parainen
11/06/21
Finland Kakkonen Group B
PIF Parainen0-3
HT 0-1
KaaPo

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 IFK Mariehamn II 11902 311027
2 EuPa 11812 24825
3 PIF Parainen 10622 20820
4 KaaPo 11605 222018
5 VG-62 10604 141218
6 SalPa 2 11524 151417
7 MaPS 11515 192016
8 Peimari United 11263 171612
9 LTU 11317 81610
10 PiPS 11227 9228
11 ACF 11146 8217
12 JyTy 11218 12327

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentKaaPoPIF Parainen
SalPa 2 0-2 L 1-1 D
MaPS 2-1 W 2-0 W
ACF 5-3 W 3-0 W
PiPS 0-1 L 3-1 W
LTU 2-0 W 1-0 W
IFK Mariehamn II 2-1 W 1-2 L
Peimari United 2-5 L 1-1 D
JyTy 6-1 W 3-1 W
EuPa 0-1 L 1-2 L
Record vs common 5 W 0 D 4 L 5 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: PIF Parainen (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KaaPo

LWLWWWLWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/06 SalPa 2
Finland Kolmonen
0-2 0-2 43 L
17/06 MaPS
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 2-1 109 W
12/06 ACF
Finland Kolmonen
2-0 5-3 51 W
03/06 PiPS
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 0-1 70 L
29/05 LTU
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 2-0 73 W
23/05 IFK Mariehamn II
Finland Kolmonen
2-1 W
14/05 VG-62
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 3-1 05 W
09/05 Peimari United
Finland Kolmonen
2-5 L
29/04 JyTy
Finland Kolmonen
3-1 6-1 103 W
24/04 EuPa
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 L

PIF Parainen

WLDLWWWDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/07 EuPa
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 1-2 92 L
27/06 MaPS
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 2-0 52 W
14/06 SalPa 2
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 1-1 86 D
05/06 ACF
Finland Kolmonen
2-0 3-0 132 W
28/05 PiPS
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 3-1 53 W
22/05 LTU
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 1-0 81 W
16/05 IFK Mariehamn II
Finland Kolmonen
1-2 L
03/05 Peimari United
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 D
29/04 P-Iirot
Finland Cup
0-1 0-2 L
23/04 JyTy
Finland Kolmonen
2-1 3-1 53 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KaaPo vs PIF Parainen?

According to our model, the most likely result is an PIF Parainen win (62%). Probabilities: KaaPo 18%, draw 20%, PIF Parainen 62%.

How many goals are expected in KaaPo vs PIF Parainen?

The model expects 3.32 goals (KaaPo 1.12 · PIF Parainen 2.19), with a 55% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in KaaPo vs PIF Parainen?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.