Prediction: PIF Parainen vs EuPa
Expected goals: 3.57 (PIF Parainen 2.15 · EuPa 1.43). The model gives 54% home, 21% draw, 25% away. Under 4 goals (58%) and both teams to score (59%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, PIF Parainen is 6-2-2 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and EuPa 7-1-2 over its own. In the last 3 head-to-head meetings the record reads 0 wins for PIF Parainen and 0 for EuPa, with 3 draws.
| PIF Parainen | Draw | EuPa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 22% | 24% |
| Market | 54% | 20% | 26% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- High corners: 13.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| PIF Parainen | EuPa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 0.8 | 2.2 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.4 | 1.2 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 43/43/14% | 67/17/17% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.7 / 7.3 | 3 / 6.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.2 | 3.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · PIF Parainen 0–3–0 EuPa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09/25 Finland Kolmonen | EuPa | 4-4 | PIF Parainen |
| 12/06/25 Finland Kolmonen | PIF Parainen | 0-0 HT 0-0 | EuPa |
| 17/05/24 Finland Kolmonen | PIF Parainen | 4-4 HT 1-1 | EuPa |
Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EuPa | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 7 | 22 |
| 2 | IFK Mariehamn II | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 10 | 21 |
| 3 | PIF Parainen | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | KaaPo | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 20 | 18 |
| 5 | VG-62 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 18 |
| 6 | SalPa 2 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 17 |
| 7 | MaPS | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 20 | 16 |
| 8 | Peimari United | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 12 |
| 9 | LTU | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 10 |
| 10 | PiPS | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 8 |
| 11 | ACF | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 7 |
| 12 | JyTy | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 27 | 7 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | PIF Parainen | EuPa |
|---|---|---|
| MaPS | 2-0 W | 5-1 W |
| SalPa 2 | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| ACF | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| PiPS | 3-1 W | 3-0 W |
| LTU | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| IFK Mariehamn II | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Peimari United | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| JyTy | 3-1 W | 5-1 W |
| KaaPo | 4-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 6 W 2 D 1 L | 7 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: EuPa (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
PIF Parainen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | MaPS Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 14/06 | SalPa 2 Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 05/06 | ACF Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 3-0 | 13 | 2 | W |
| 28/05 | PiPS Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 22/05 | LTU Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | IFK Mariehamn II Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 03/05 | Peimari United Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 29/04 | P-Iirot Finland Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 23/04 | JyTy Finland Kolmonen |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | KaaPo Finland Kolmonen |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
EuPa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | IFK Mariehamn II Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 12/06 | MaPS Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 5-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 05/06 | VG-62 Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 30/05 | SalPa 2 Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 20/05 | Peimari United Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 14/05 | ACF Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 07/05 | JyTy Finland Kolmonen |
3-1 | 5-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 29/04 | PiPS Finland Kolmonen |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/04 | KaaPo Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/04 | LTU Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in PIF Parainen vs EuPa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a PIF Parainen win (54%). Probabilities: PIF Parainen 54%, draw 21%, EuPa 25%.
How many goals are expected in PIF Parainen vs EuPa?
The model expects 3.57 goals (PIF Parainen 2.15 · EuPa 1.43), with a 58% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in PIF Parainen vs EuPa?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.

