Football · Finland Kolmonen · 02/07, 18:00

Prediction: PIF Parainen vs EuPa

Expected goals: 3.57 (PIF Parainen 2.15 · EuPa 1.43). The model gives 54% home, 21% draw, 25% away. Under 4 goals (58%) and both teams to score (59%). Most likely score: 1-1.

On recent form, PIF Parainen is 6-2-2 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and EuPa 7-1-2 over its own. In the last 3 head-to-head meetings the record reads 0 wins for PIF Parainen and 0 for EuPa, with 3 draws.

54%1
54% 21% 25%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · PIF Parainen 1552 · EuPa 1566
PIF ParainenDrawEuPa
Our model53%22%24%
Market54%20%26%
Estimated total (ours) 3.57 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals3.57PIF Parainen 2.15 · EuPa 1.43
Over / Under 4Under 4 · 58%
BTTSYes · 59%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 13.5 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

PIF ParainenEuPa
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 0.82.2 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.41.2 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)43/43/14%67/17/17%
Corners (HT / FT)3.7 / 7.33 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.7 / 0.23.3 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · PIF Parainen 030 EuPa

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DateHomeScoreAway
20/09/25
Finland Kolmonen
EuPa4-4PIF Parainen
12/06/25
Finland Kolmonen
PIF Parainen0-0
HT 0-0
EuPa
17/05/24
Finland Kolmonen
PIF Parainen4-4
HT 1-1
EuPa

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 EuPa 10712 22722
2 IFK Mariehamn II 9702 251021
3 PIF Parainen 9621 19620
4 KaaPo 11605 222018
5 VG-62 10604 141218
6 SalPa 2 11524 151417
7 MaPS 11515 192016
8 Peimari United 11263 171612
9 LTU 10316 81510
10 PiPS 11227 9228
11 ACF 11146 8217
12 JyTy 10217 12277

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPIF ParainenEuPa
MaPS 2-0 W 5-1 W
SalPa 2 1-1 D 1-0 W
ACF 3-0 W 1-0 W
PiPS 3-1 W 3-0 W
LTU 1-0 W 3-0 W
IFK Mariehamn II 1-2 L 1-2 L
Peimari United 1-1 D 1-1 D
JyTy 3-1 W 5-1 W
KaaPo 4-0 W 1-0 W
Record vs common 6 W 2 D 1 L 7 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: EuPa (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

PIF Parainen

WWLDLWWWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 MaPS
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 2-0 52 W
14/06 SalPa 2
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 1-1 86 D
05/06 ACF
Finland Kolmonen
2-0 3-0 132 W
28/05 PiPS
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 3-1 53 W
22/05 LTU
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 1-0 81 W
16/05 IFK Mariehamn II
Finland Kolmonen
1-2 L
03/05 Peimari United
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 D
29/04 P-Iirot
Finland Cup
0-1 0-2 L
23/04 JyTy
Finland Kolmonen
2-1 3-1 53 W
18/04 KaaPo
Finland Kolmonen
4-0 W

EuPa

WWWWWDWLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 IFK Mariehamn II
Finland Kolmonen
1-2 L
12/06 MaPS
Finland Kolmonen
2-0 5-1 35 W
05/06 VG-62
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 1-2 74 L
30/05 SalPa 2
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 1-0 53 W
20/05 Peimari United
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 1-1 84 D
14/05 ACF
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 W
07/05 JyTy
Finland Kolmonen
3-1 5-1 84 W
29/04 PiPS
Finland Kolmonen
3-0 W
24/04 KaaPo
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 W
17/04 LTU
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 3-0 62 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in PIF Parainen vs EuPa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a PIF Parainen win (54%). Probabilities: PIF Parainen 54%, draw 21%, EuPa 25%.

How many goals are expected in PIF Parainen vs EuPa?

The model expects 3.57 goals (PIF Parainen 2.15 · EuPa 1.43), with a 58% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in PIF Parainen vs EuPa?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.