Football · Finland Kolmonen · 31/07, 18:00

Prediction: MaPS vs Peimari United

Team pages: MaPS · Peimari United

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.05Total

MaPS1.57

Peimari United1.48

1X2

40% 24% 36%

MaPS Draw Peimari United

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

MaPS 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWWWWLLLLD

Peimari United 2-6-2 (W-D-L)

DWDDWLLDDD

Head-to-head

MaPS 2–2–2 Peimari United (6 last)

Peimari United0-0MaPS
Peimari United0-1MaPS
MaPS1-1Peimari United
Peimari United2-1MaPS
MaPS1-2Peimari United
MaPS3-2Peimari United

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MaPS 1489 · Peimari United 1486

	MaPS	Draw	Peimari United
Our model	39%	26%	35%
Market	41%	23%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 3.05 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MaPS	Peimari United
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 2	1.8 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.7	0.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	29/43/29%	50/33/17%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 6.9	2.5 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.3	3.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.90

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.80

2 (0)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
09:59 +6’	2.20	3.90	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · MaPS 2–2–2 Peimari United

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Finland Kolmonen	Peimari United	0-0 HT 0-0	MaPS
15/08/25 Finland Kolmonen	Peimari United	0-1	MaPS
09/05/25 Finland Kolmonen	MaPS	1-1 HT 1-1	Peimari United
24/08/24 Finland Kolmonen	Peimari United	2-1	MaPS
10/05/24 Finland Kolmonen	MaPS	1-2 HT 0-2	Peimari United
05/05/23 Finland Kolmonen	MaPS	3-2 HT 2-2	Peimari United

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IFK Mariehamn II	12	10	0	2	34	11	30
2	EuPa	12	8	2	2	24	8	26
3	PIF Parainen	11	7	2	2	24	10	23
4	SalPa 2	13	6	3	4	19	16	21
5	VG-62	12	7	0	5	18	15	21
6	KaaPo	12	6	0	6	24	24	18
7	MaPS	12	5	2	5	20	21	17
8	Peimari United	12	2	7	3	18	17	13
9	LTU	12	3	2	7	8	16	11
10	PiPS	12	2	2	8	10	25	8
11	JyTy	12	2	2	8	13	33	8
12	ACF	12	1	4	7	8	24	7

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MaPS	Peimari United
JyTy	1-1 D	2-2 D
PIF Parainen	0-2 L	1-1 D
KaaPo	1-2 L	5-2 W
EuPa	1-5 L	1-1 D
SalPa 2	2-4 L	1-1 D
ACF	3-0 W	2-2 D
PiPS	3-2 W	2-2 D
LTU	3-1 W	0-1 L
IFK Mariehamn II	3-2 W	1-3 L
VG-62	0-1 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 5 L	2 W 6 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Peimari United (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MaPS

LWWWWLLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/07	JyTy Finland Kolmonen	1-1	1-1	6	2	D
27/06	PIF Parainen Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-2	7	2	L
17/06	KaaPo Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-2	5	9	L
12/06	EuPa Finland Kolmonen	0-2	1-5	5	5	L
02/06	SalPa 2 Finland Kolmonen	1-1	2-4	9	0	L
29/05	ACF Finland Kolmonen	3-0	3-0	11	3	W
22/05	PiPS Finland Kolmonen	–	3-2	–	–	W
14/05	LTU Finland Kolmonen	1-0	3-1	5	2	W
09/05	IFK Mariehamn II Finland Kolmonen	–	3-2	–	–	W
02/05	VG-62 Finland Kolmonen	–	0-1	–	–	L

Peimari United

DWDDWLLDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	SalPa 2 Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-1	4	4	D
25/06	PiPS Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-2	3	2	D
17/06	ACF Finland Kolmonen	1-1	2-2	6	3	D
13/06	LTU Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-1	7	2	L
06/06	IFK Mariehamn II Finland Kolmonen	–	1-3	–	–	L
29/05	VG-62 Finland Kolmonen	–	3-1	–	–	W
20/05	EuPa Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-1	3	4	D
15/05	JyTy Finland Kolmonen	1-2	2-2	7	7	D
09/05	KaaPo Finland Kolmonen	–	5-2	–	–	W
03/05	PIF Parainen Finland Kolmonen	–	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MaPS vs Peimari United?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MaPS win (40%). Probabilities: MaPS 40%, draw 24%, Peimari United 36%.

How many goals are expected in MaPS vs Peimari United?

The model expects 3.05 goals (MaPS 1.57 · Peimari United 1.48), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in MaPS vs Peimari United?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.