Prediction: BuxDu vs Pakhtakor Tashkent II
| BuxDu | Draw | Pakhtakor Tashkent II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 29% | 34% |
| Market | 38% | 28% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours BuxDu (rating 1444 vs 1399).
- Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| BuxDu | Pakhtakor Tashkent II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 2.2 | 0.6 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 1.1 | 0 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 14/43/43% | 0/43/57% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.5 / 1.8 | 1.2 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.8 / 0.3 | 3.4 / 0 |
Standings · Uzbekistan 1st Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Orol Nukus | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 7 | 26 |
| 2 | Shurtan | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | FC Lochin | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 21 |
| 4 | Metallurg Bekabad | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 8 | 18 |
| 5 | Kattaqorgon | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 18 |
| 6 | Gazalkent | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 15 |
| 7 | Fardu Ferghana | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 19 | 13 |
| 8 | FC Yaypan Fergana | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 13 |
| 9 | Olympic Mobiuz | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 12 |
| 10 | Respublika FA | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 12 |
| 11 | Jayxun | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 8 |
| 12 | BuxDu | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 7 |
| 13 | Pakhtakor Tashkent II | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 4 |
| 14 | PFC Terdu | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 4 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | BuxDu | Pakhtakor Tashkent II |
|---|---|---|
| PFC Terdu | 2-0 W | 4-2 W |
| FC Yaypan Fergana | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| FC Lochin | 0-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Fardu Ferghana | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Metallurg Bekabad | 0-3 L | 0-5 L |
| Respublika FA | 0-1 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 1 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: BuxDu (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
BuxDu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/06 | PFC Terdu Uzbekistan 1st Division |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 05/06 | FC Yaypan Fergana Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 31/05 | FC Lochin Uzbekistan 1st Division |
– | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 26/05 | Neftchi Fergana Uzbekistan Cup |
0-4 | 2-6 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 22/05 | Guliston Uzbekistan Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 06/05 | Fardu Ferghana Uzbekistan 1st Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 30/04 | Kattaqorgon Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Olympic Mobiuz Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-2 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 20/04 | Metallurg Bekabad Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-2 | 0-3 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 15/04 | Respublika FA Uzbekistan 1st Division |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Pakhtakor Tashkent II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/06 | Respublika FA Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 03/06 | FK Orol Nukus Uzbekistan 1st Division |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 30/05 | Gazalkent Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 22/05 | FC Yaypan Fergana Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 05/05 | Shurtan Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 01/05 | Jayxun Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-3 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Metallurg Bekabad Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-1 | 0-5 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 19/04 | PFC Terdu Uzbekistan 1st Division |
– | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 11/04 | FC Lochin Uzbekistan 1st Division |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 07/04 | Fardu Ferghana Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in BuxDu vs Pakhtakor Tashkent II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a BuxDu win (38%). Probabilities: BuxDu 38%, draw 28%, Pakhtakor Tashkent II 34%.
How many goals are expected in BuxDu vs Pakhtakor Tashkent II?
The model expects 2.6 goals (BuxDu 1.33 · Pakhtakor Tashkent II 1.26), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in BuxDu vs Pakhtakor Tashkent II?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.