Prediction: Shurtan vs Respublika FA

Team pages: Shurtan · Respublika FA

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.57Total
Shurtan1.61
Respublika FA0.96
1X2
52% 26% 22%
Shurtan Draw Respublika FA
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Shurtan 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
WDWWLLWWLL
Respublika FA 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
WLLDDLLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Shurtan 1497 · Respublika FA 1475
ShurtanDrawRespublika FA
Our model51%27%21%
Market53%24%23%
Estimated total (ours) 2.57 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

ShurtanRespublika FA
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.61.1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.40.6 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)22/44/33%29/71/0%
Corners (HT / FT)1.2 / 3.71 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.8 / 0.23.4 / 0.1

Standings · Uzbekistan 1st Division

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FK Orol Nukus 11920 27829
2 Shurtan 11722 161123
3 FC Lochin 11632 20921
4 Kattaqorgon 11632 13721
5 Gazalkent 11533 171418
6 Metallurg Bekabad 11533 251118
7 Fardu Ferghana 11443 152016
8 Olympic Mobiuz 11434 211315
9 FC Yaypan Fergana 11416 142213
10 Respublika FA 11335 131212
11 Jayxun 11326 91711
12 BuxDu 11317 92110
13 Pakhtakor Tashkent II 11119 6254
14 PFC Terdu 11119 8234

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentShurtanRespublika FA
Jayxun 2-1 W 1-2 L
Pakhtakor Tashkent II 2-0 W 3-0 W
PFC Terdu 1-0 W 4-2 W
FC Yaypan Fergana 2-2 D 0-1 L
FC Lochin 2-1 W 0-0 D
Record vs common 4 W 1 D 0 L 2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Shurtan (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Shurtan

WDWWLLWWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/07 FK Orol Nukus
Uzbekistan 1st Division
0-1 1-3 28 L
10/06 Gazalkent
Uzbekistan 1st Division
0-0 0-2 53 L
04/06 Metallurg Bekabad
Uzbekistan 1st Division
0-0 1-0 42 W
30/05 Jayxun
Uzbekistan 1st Division
2-1 W
26/05 Nasaf Qarshi
Uzbekistan Cup
0-1 0-4 33 L
15/05 FK Andijan
Uzbekistan Cup
0-1 1-3 60 L
05/05 Pakhtakor Tashkent II
Uzbekistan 1st Division
1-0 2-0 32 W
29/04 PFC Terdu
Uzbekistan 1st Division
0-0 1-0 32 W
24/04 FC Yaypan Fergana
Uzbekistan 1st Division
1-1 2-2 53 D
20/04 FC Lochin
Uzbekistan 1st Division
1-0 2-1 24 W

Respublika FA

WLLDDLLWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/07 Jayxun
Uzbekistan 1st Division
0-0 1-2 34 L
08/06 Pakhtakor Tashkent II
Uzbekistan 1st Division
0-0 3-0 93 W
04/06 PFC Terdu
Uzbekistan 1st Division
3-0 4-2 47 W
31/05 FC Yaypan Fergana
Uzbekistan 1st Division
0-0 0-1 13 L
14/05 Olympic Mobiuz
Uzbekistan Cup
0-0 0-1 51 L
05/05 FC Lochin
Uzbekistan 1st Division
0-0 0-0 05 D
01/05 Fardu Ferghana
Uzbekistan 1st Division
1-1 D
26/04 Kattaqorgon
Uzbekistan 1st Division
0-1 L
21/04 Olympic Mobiuz
Uzbekistan 1st Division
1-0 1-2 52 L
15/04 BuxDu
Uzbekistan 1st Division
1-0 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Shurtan vs Respublika FA?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Shurtan win (52%). Probabilities: Shurtan 52%, draw 26%, Respublika FA 22%.

How many goals are expected in Shurtan vs Respublika FA?

The model expects 2.57 goals (Shurtan 1.61 · Respublika FA 0.96), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Shurtan vs Respublika FA?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.