Prediction: Pakhtakor Tashkent II vs Olympic Mobiuz

Team pages: Pakhtakor Tashkent II · Olympic Mobiuz

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.44Total
Pakhtakor Tashkent II1.29
Olympic Mobiuz2.14
1X2
22% 22% 56%
Pakhtakor Tashkent II Draw Olympic Mobiuz
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Pakhtakor Tashkent II 1-1-8 (W-D-L)
DWLLLLLLLL
Olympic Mobiuz 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WWDDWWLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pakhtakor Tashkent II 1399 · Olympic Mobiuz 1552
Pakhtakor Tashkent IIDrawOlympic Mobiuz
Our model22%22%56%
Market22%22%56%
Estimated total (ours) 3.44 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Olympic Mobiuz (rating 1399 vs 1552).
  • Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Pakhtakor Tashkent IIOlympic Mobiuz
Goals for / against (FT)0.6 / 2.42.3 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0 / 10.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/29/71%40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.2 / 3.72 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 03.3 / 0.2

Standings · Uzbekistan 1st Division

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FK Orol Nukus 11920 27829
2 Shurtan 11722 161123
3 FC Lochin 11632 20921
4 Kattaqorgon 11632 13721
5 Gazalkent 11533 171418
6 Metallurg Bekabad 11533 251118
7 Fardu Ferghana 11443 152016
8 Olympic Mobiuz 11434 211315
9 FC Yaypan Fergana 11416 142213
10 Respublika FA 11335 131212
11 Jayxun 11326 91711
12 BuxDu 11317 92110
13 Pakhtakor Tashkent II 11119 6254
14 PFC Terdu 11119 8234

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPakhtakor Tashkent IIOlympic Mobiuz
BuxDu 0-2 L 4-1 W
Respublika FA 0-3 L 1-0 W
FC Yaypan Fergana 0-1 L 6-1 W
Metallurg Bekabad 0-5 L 1-1 D
PFC Terdu 4-2 W 3-0 W
FC Lochin 1-1 D 2-3 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 4 L 4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Olympic Mobiuz (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pakhtakor Tashkent II

DWLLLLLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/07 BuxDu
Uzbekistan 1st Division
0-1 0-2 22 L
08/06 Respublika FA
Uzbekistan 1st Division
0-0 0-3 43 L
03/06 FK Orol Nukus
Uzbekistan 1st Division
0-3 L
30/05 Gazalkent
Uzbekistan 1st Division
0-1 1-2 55 L
22/05 FC Yaypan Fergana
Uzbekistan 1st Division
0-0 0-1 33 L
05/05 Shurtan
Uzbekistan 1st Division
0-1 0-2 22 L
01/05 Jayxun
Uzbekistan 1st Division
0-3 0-3 54 L
25/04 Metallurg Bekabad
Uzbekistan 1st Division
0-1 0-5 54 L
19/04 PFC Terdu
Uzbekistan 1st Division
4-2 W
11/04 FC Lochin
Uzbekistan 1st Division
1-1 D

Olympic Mobiuz

WWDDWWLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/07 PFC Terdu
Uzbekistan 1st Division
1-0 3-0 55 W
18/07 FC Lochin
Uzbekistan 1st Division
1-2 2-3 124 L
14/06 FC Yaypan Fergana
Uzbekistan 1st Division
1-0 6-1 15 W
29/05 Fardu Ferghana
Uzbekistan 1st Division
1-2 1-2 104 L
14/05 Respublika FA
Uzbekistan Cup
0-0 1-0 71 W
09/05 Mashal Mubarek
Uzbekistan Cup
2-1 3-1 54 W
04/05 Kattaqorgon
Uzbekistan 1st Division
0-0 0-0 26 D
30/04 Metallurg Bekabad
Uzbekistan 1st Division
0-0 1-1 21 D
25/04 BuxDu
Uzbekistan 1st Division
2-0 4-1 W
21/04 Respublika FA
Uzbekistan 1st Division
0-1 2-1 52 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pakhtakor Tashkent II vs Olympic Mobiuz?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Olympic Mobiuz win (56%). Probabilities: Pakhtakor Tashkent II 22%, draw 22%, Olympic Mobiuz 56%.

How many goals are expected in Pakhtakor Tashkent II vs Olympic Mobiuz?

The model expects 3.44 goals (Pakhtakor Tashkent II 1.29 · Olympic Mobiuz 2.14), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Pakhtakor Tashkent II vs Olympic Mobiuz?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.