Prediction: Pakhtakor Tashkent II vs Olympic Mobiuz
Team pages: Pakhtakor Tashkent II · Olympic Mobiuz
| Pakhtakor Tashkent II | Draw | Olympic Mobiuz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 22% | 22% | 56% |
| Market | 22% | 22% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Olympic Mobiuz (rating 1399 vs 1552).
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Pakhtakor Tashkent II | Olympic Mobiuz | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 2.4 | 2.3 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0 / 1 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/29/71% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 3.7 | 2 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0 | 3.3 / 0.2 |
Standings · Uzbekistan 1st Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Orol Nukus | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 8 | 29 |
| 2 | Shurtan | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
| 3 | FC Lochin | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 21 |
| 4 | Kattaqorgon | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | Gazalkent | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 18 |
| 6 | Metallurg Bekabad | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 18 |
| 7 | Fardu Ferghana | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 20 | 16 |
| 8 | Olympic Mobiuz | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 13 | 15 |
| 9 | FC Yaypan Fergana | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 22 | 13 |
| 10 | Respublika FA | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 12 |
| 11 | Jayxun | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 11 |
| 12 | BuxDu | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 21 | 10 |
| 13 | Pakhtakor Tashkent II | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 25 | 4 |
| 14 | PFC Terdu | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 23 | 4 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Pakhtakor Tashkent II | Olympic Mobiuz |
|---|---|---|
| BuxDu | 0-2 L | 4-1 W |
| Respublika FA | 0-3 L | 1-0 W |
| FC Yaypan Fergana | 0-1 L | 6-1 W |
| Metallurg Bekabad | 0-5 L | 1-1 D |
| PFC Terdu | 4-2 W | 3-0 W |
| FC Lochin | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 4 L | 4 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Olympic Mobiuz (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pakhtakor Tashkent II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | BuxDu Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 08/06 | Respublika FA Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 03/06 | FK Orol Nukus Uzbekistan 1st Division |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 30/05 | Gazalkent Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 22/05 | FC Yaypan Fergana Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 05/05 | Shurtan Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 01/05 | Jayxun Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-3 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Metallurg Bekabad Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-1 | 0-5 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 19/04 | PFC Terdu Uzbekistan 1st Division |
– | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 11/04 | FC Lochin Uzbekistan 1st Division |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Olympic Mobiuz
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | PFC Terdu Uzbekistan 1st Division |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 18/07 | FC Lochin Uzbekistan 1st Division |
1-2 | 2-3 | 12 | 4 | L |
| 14/06 | FC Yaypan Fergana Uzbekistan 1st Division |
1-0 | 6-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 29/05 | Fardu Ferghana Uzbekistan 1st Division |
1-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 14/05 | Respublika FA Uzbekistan Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Mashal Mubarek Uzbekistan Cup |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 04/05 | Kattaqorgon Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 30/04 | Metallurg Bekabad Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 25/04 | BuxDu Uzbekistan 1st Division |
2-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 21/04 | Respublika FA Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pakhtakor Tashkent II vs Olympic Mobiuz?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Olympic Mobiuz win (56%). Probabilities: Pakhtakor Tashkent II 22%, draw 22%, Olympic Mobiuz 56%.
How many goals are expected in Pakhtakor Tashkent II vs Olympic Mobiuz?
The model expects 3.44 goals (Pakhtakor Tashkent II 1.29 · Olympic Mobiuz 2.14), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Pakhtakor Tashkent II vs Olympic Mobiuz?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.

