Football · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · 17/07, 23:30
Prediction: LDU Portoviejo vs Independiente Juniors
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.97Total
LDU Portoviejo1.02
Independiente Juniors0.95
1X2
LDU Portoviejo
Draw
Independiente Juniors
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 60%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
LDU Portoviejo
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Independiente Juniors
2-6-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
LDU Portoviejo
0–2–4
Independiente Juniors
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · LDU Portoviejo 1486 · Independiente Juniors 1511
| LDU Portoviejo | Draw | Independiente Juniors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 34% | 31% |
| Market | 37% | 30% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.97 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Independiente Juniors: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| LDU Portoviejo | Independiente Juniors | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.2 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 22/44/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 6.7 | 1.7 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.7 / 0.4 | 4.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · LDU Portoviejo 0–2–4 Independiente Juniors
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/04/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Independiente Juniors | 2-1 HT 1-0 | LDU Portoviejo |
| 10/06/25 Ecuador Cup | LDU Portoviejo | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Independiente Juniors |
| 08/09/21 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | LDU Portoviejo | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Independiente Juniors |
| 18/07/21 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Independiente Juniors | 3-1 HT 1-1 | LDU Portoviejo |
| 26/05/21 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | LDU Portoviejo | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Independiente Juniors |
| 24/03/21 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Independiente Juniors | 3-0 HT 0-0 | LDU Portoviejo |
Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club 9 de Octubre | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
| 2 | Atletico FC Guayaquil | 17 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 21 | 13 | 30 |
| 3 | CD Cuenca Jrs | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 29 |
| 4 | Vinotinto Ecuador | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente Juniors | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 25 |
| 6 | Cumbaya | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 22 |
| 7 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 20 |
| 8 | CD Vargas Torres | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 19 |
| 9 | LDU Portoviejo | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 20 | 19 |
| 10 | Gualaceo SC | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 18 |
| 11 | 22 de Julio | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 22 | 6 |
| 12 | El Nacional | 17 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 29 | 1 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | LDU Portoviejo | Independiente Juniors |
|---|---|---|
| CD Cuenca Jrs | 0-1 L | 4-0 W |
| Club 9 de Octubre | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| San Antonio FC Cotacachi | 2-4 L | 0-0 D |
| Gualaceo SC | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Vinotinto Ecuador | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Cumbaya | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Atletico FC Guayaquil | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| CD Vargas Torres | 0-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 3 L | 1 W 5 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
LDU Portoviejo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 9 | L |
| 04/07 | Club 9 de Octubre Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 10/06 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-3 | 2-4 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 06/06 | Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 9 | W |
| 31/05 | El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 23/05 | Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 20/05 | Club Atletico Libertad Ecuador Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 13/05 | Cumbaya Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 08/05 | Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 05/05 | CD Vargas Torres Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 0-3 | 10 | 4 | L |
Independiente Juniors
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 09/07 | LDU Quito Ecuador Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 03/07 | CD Vargas Torres Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 10/06 | CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
3-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 05/06 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 30/05 | Cumbaya Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 25/05 | Club 9 de Octubre Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 16/05 | 22 de Julio Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 07/05 | Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 03/05 | Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
2-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in LDU Portoviejo vs Independiente Juniors?
According to our model, the most likely result is a LDU Portoviejo win (36%). Probabilities: LDU Portoviejo 36%, draw 32%, Independiente Juniors 32%.
How many goals are expected in LDU Portoviejo vs Independiente Juniors?
The model expects 1.97 goals (LDU Portoviejo 1.02 · Independiente Juniors 0.95), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in LDU Portoviejo vs Independiente Juniors?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.