Football · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · 22/07, 22:30
Prediction: San Antonio FC Cotacachi vs Cumbaya
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.11Total
San Antonio FC Cotacachi1.18
Cumbaya0.93
1X2
San Antonio FC Cotacachi
Draw
Cumbaya
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 65%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
San Antonio FC Cotacachi
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Cumbaya
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
San Antonio FC Cotacachi
3–0
Cumbaya
(3 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · San Antonio FC Cotacachi 1479 · Cumbaya 1529
| San Antonio FC Cotacachi | Draw | Cumbaya | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 32% | 28% |
| Market | 41% | 30% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.11 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cumbaya (rating 1479 vs 1529).
- H2H favours San Antonio FC Cotacachi: 3-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| San Antonio FC Cotacachi | Cumbaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.5 | 1.1 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 22/56/22% | 44/33/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 3.3 | 1.8 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0 | 5.3 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · San Antonio FC Cotacachi 3–0–0 Cumbaya
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Cumbaya | 0-3 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi |
| 16/07/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | San Antonio FC Cotacachi | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Cumbaya |
| 08/05/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Cumbaya | 0-1 HT 0-1 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi |
Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club 9 de Octubre | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
| 2 | Atletico FC Guayaquil | 17 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 21 | 13 | 30 |
| 3 | CD Cuenca Jrs | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 29 |
| 4 | Independiente Juniors | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 28 |
| 5 | Vinotinto Ecuador | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 26 |
| 6 | Cumbaya | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 22 |
| 7 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 20 |
| 8 | CD Vargas Torres | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 19 |
| 9 | LDU Portoviejo | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 19 |
| 10 | Gualaceo SC | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 11 | 18 |
| 11 | 22 de Julio | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 22 | 9 |
| 12 | El Nacional | 17 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 29 | 1 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | San Antonio FC Cotacachi | Cumbaya |
|---|---|---|
| CD Vargas Torres | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| CD Cuenca Jrs | 0-1 L | 3-0 W |
| LDU Portoviejo | 4-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Independiente Juniors | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| 22 de Julio | 0-2 L | 4-0 W |
| El Nacional | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Gualaceo SC | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Vinotinto Ecuador | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 4 D 2 L | 4 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Cumbaya (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
San Antonio FC Cotacachi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 11/07 | CD Vargas Torres Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 03/07 | CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 10/06 | LDU Portoviejo Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
3-1 | 4-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 05/06 | Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 30/05 | 22 de Julio Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 24/05 | El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 21/05 | SD Aucas Ecuador Cup |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 07/05 | Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
Cumbaya
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Club 9 de Octubre Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 08/07 | El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 02/07 | 22 de Julio Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/06 | Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 04/06 | Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 30/05 | Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | CD Vargas Torres Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 9 | D |
| 13/05 | LDU Portoviejo Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 07/05 | CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 03/05 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in San Antonio FC Cotacachi vs Cumbaya?
According to our model, the most likely result is a San Antonio FC Cotacachi win (41%). Probabilities: San Antonio FC Cotacachi 41%, draw 31%, Cumbaya 28%.
How many goals are expected in San Antonio FC Cotacachi vs Cumbaya?
The model expects 2.11 goals (San Antonio FC Cotacachi 1.18 · Cumbaya 0.93), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in San Antonio FC Cotacachi vs Cumbaya?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.