Football · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · 25/07, 22:30
Prediction: Club 9 de Octubre vs 22 de Julio
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.16Total
Club 9 de Octubre1.75
22 de Julio0.41
1X2
Club 9 de Octubre
Draw
22 de Julio
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Not both to score 57%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Club 9 de Octubre
3-7-0 (W-D-L)
22 de Julio
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Club 9 de Octubre
1–1–1
22 de Julio
(3 last)
- 22 de Julio0-1Club 9 de Octubre
- 22 de Julio1-0Club 9 de Octubre
- Club 9 de Octubre0-022 de Julio
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Club 9 de Octubre 1537 · 22 de Julio 1450
| Club 9 de Octubre | Draw | 22 de Julio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 23% | 7% |
| Market | 72% | 19% | 9% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.16 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Club 9 de Octubre (rating 1537 vs 1450).
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Club 9 de Octubre | 22 de Julio | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.8 | 3 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.4 | 4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Club 9 de Octubre 1–1–1 22 de Julio
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | 22 de Julio | 0-1 | Club 9 de Octubre |
| 16/08/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | 22 de Julio | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Club 9 de Octubre |
| 18/03/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Club 9 de Octubre | 0-0 HT 0-0 | 22 de Julio |
Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club 9 de Octubre | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
| 2 | Atletico FC Guayaquil | 17 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 21 | 13 | 30 |
| 3 | CD Cuenca Jrs | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 29 |
| 4 | Independiente Juniors | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 28 |
| 5 | Vinotinto Ecuador | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 26 |
| 6 | Cumbaya | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 23 |
| 7 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi | 18 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 21 |
| 8 | CD Vargas Torres | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 19 |
| 9 | LDU Portoviejo | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 19 |
| 10 | Gualaceo SC | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 11 | 18 |
| 11 | 22 de Julio | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 22 | 9 |
| 12 | El Nacional | 17 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 29 | 1 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Club 9 de Octubre | 22 de Julio |
|---|---|---|
| Cumbaya | 0-0 D | 0-4 L |
| Gualaceo SC | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Vinotinto Ecuador | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Atletico FC Guayaquil | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| CD Cuenca Jrs | 3-3 D | 0-3 L |
| Independiente Juniors | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| El Nacional | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| CD Vargas Torres | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 5 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Club 9 de Octubre (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Club 9 de Octubre
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Cumbaya Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 11/07 | Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 04/07 | LDU Portoviejo Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 09/06 | Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 03/06 | Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 25/05 | Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 22/05 | Manta FC Ecuador Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 17/05 | El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
2-1 | 3-1 | 10 | 7 | W |
| 10/05 | CD Vargas Torres Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
22 de Julio
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 02/07 | Cumbaya Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 09/06 | Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 06/06 | CD Vargas Torres Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 30/05 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 21/05 | CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | Club 9 de Octubre Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Club 9 de Octubre vs 22 de Julio?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Club 9 de Octubre win (71%). Probabilities: Club 9 de Octubre 71%, draw 21%, 22 de Julio 8%.
How many goals are expected in Club 9 de Octubre vs 22 de Julio?
The model expects 2.16 goals (Club 9 de Octubre 1.75 · 22 de Julio 0.41), with a 56% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Club 9 de Octubre vs 22 de Julio?
The model gives a 57% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.