Prediction: LDU Portoviejo vs CD Vargas Torres

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.65Total
LDU Portoviejo0.96
CD Vargas Torres0.69
1X2
41% 33% 26%
LDU Portoviejo Draw CD Vargas Torres
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 51% Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
LDU Portoviejo 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
DDDWWWLDLL
CD Vargas Torres 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
LDDLWDWLDL
Head-to-head
LDU Portoviejo 0–1 CD Vargas Torres (1 last)
  • CD Vargas Torres3-0LDU Portoviejo
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · LDU Portoviejo 1480 · CD Vargas Torres 1480
LDU PortoviejoDrawCD Vargas Torres
Our model39%37%24%
Market42%31%27%
Estimated total (ours) 1.65 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 11 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

LDU PortoviejoCD Vargas Torres
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 10.4 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.60.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%22/22/56%
Corners (HT / FT)3.5 / 6.31.8 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6.1 / 0.24.1 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · LDU Portoviejo 001 CD Vargas Torres

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DateHomeScoreAway
05/05/26
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
CD Vargas Torres3-0
HT 1-0
LDU Portoviejo

Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Club 9 de Octubre 17872 191131
2 Atletico FC Guayaquil 17791 211330
3 CD Cuenca Jrs 17854 191829
4 Independiente Juniors 17773 181128
5 Vinotinto Ecuador 17755 231426
6 Cumbaya 18585 191623
7 San Antonio FC Cotacachi 18495 202021
8 CD Vargas Torres 17575 131219
9 LDU Portoviejo 17548 142119
10 Gualaceo SC 17665 131118
11 22 de Julio 174310 9229
12 El Nacional 170413 10291

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLDU PortoviejoCD Vargas Torres
Independiente Juniors 0-1 L 1-0 W
CD Cuenca Jrs 0-1 L 0-1 L
Club 9 de Octubre 1-1 D 0-1 L
San Antonio FC Cotacachi 2-4 L 1-1 D
Gualaceo SC 1-0 W 0-1 L
El Nacional 1-0 W 0-0 D
Cumbaya 1-1 D 0-0 D
Atletico FC Guayaquil 1-1 D 1-1 D
Record vs common 2 W 3 D 3 L 1 W 4 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: LDU Portoviejo (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

LDU Portoviejo

DDDWWWLDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/07 Independiente Juniors
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-0 0-1 66 L
09/07 CD Cuenca Jrs
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-1 0-1 79 L
04/07 Club 9 de Octubre
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-0 1-1 18 D
10/06 San Antonio FC Cotacachi
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
1-3 2-4 95 L
06/06 Gualaceo SC
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-0 1-0 109 W
31/05 El Nacional
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
1-0 1-0 57 W
23/05 Vinotinto Ecuador
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-0 1-0 94 W
20/05 Club Atletico Libertad
Ecuador Cup
1-1 1-1 43 D
13/05 Cumbaya
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-1 1-1 56 D
08/05 Atletico FC Guayaquil
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
1-0 1-1 76 D

CD Vargas Torres

LDDLWDWLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/07 CD Cuenca Jrs
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-1 0-1 114 L
11/07 San Antonio FC Cotacachi
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-1 1-1 82 D
09/07 Independiente del Valle
Ecuador Cup
0-1 0-2 15 L
03/07 Independiente Juniors
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
1-0 1-0 24 W
11/06 El Nacional
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-0 0-0 92 D
06/06 22 de Julio
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
1-0 W
30/05 Gualaceo SC
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-1 0-1 56 L
23/05 Cumbaya
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-0 0-0 39 D
15/05 Atletico FC Guayaquil
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
1-0 1-1 22 D
10/05 Club 9 de Octubre
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-1 0-1 15 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in LDU Portoviejo vs CD Vargas Torres?

According to our model, the most likely result is a LDU Portoviejo win (41%). Probabilities: LDU Portoviejo 41%, draw 33%, CD Vargas Torres 26%.

How many goals are expected in LDU Portoviejo vs CD Vargas Torres?

The model expects 1.65 goals (LDU Portoviejo 0.96 · CD Vargas Torres 0.69), with a 55% chance of under 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in LDU Portoviejo vs CD Vargas Torres?

The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.