Prediction: 22 de Julio vs El Nacional
Team pages: 22 de Julio · El Nacional
- El Nacional1-122 de Julio
- 22 de Julio0-3El Nacional
| 22 de Julio | Draw | El Nacional | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 31% | 20% |
| Market | 51% | 26% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| 22 de Julio | El Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.4 / 1.3 | 0.4 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1 | 0.3 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/33/67% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.5 | 1.8 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0 | 4.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · 22 de Julio 0–1–1 El Nacional
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | El Nacional | 1-1 HT 1-1 | 22 de Julio |
| 11/07/25 Ecuador Cup | 22 de Julio | 0-3 HT 0-1 | El Nacional |
Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club 9 de Octubre | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 35 |
| 2 | Independiente Juniors | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 11 | 31 |
| 3 | Atletico FC Guayaquil | 18 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 21 | 13 | 31 |
| 4 | CD Cuenca Jrs | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Vinotinto Ecuador | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 17 | 26 |
| 6 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 24 |
| 7 | Cumbaya | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 23 |
| 8 | LDU Portoviejo | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 21 | 22 |
| 9 | CD Vargas Torres | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 20 |
| 10 | Gualaceo SC | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 11 | 19 |
| 11 | 22 de Julio | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 23 | 9 |
| 12 | El Nacional | 18 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 10 | 29 | 2 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | 22 de Julio | El Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| Club 9 de Octubre | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| Gualaceo SC | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Vinotinto Ecuador | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Cumbaya | 0-4 L | 0-1 L |
| Atletico FC Guayaquil | 0-1 L | 0-3 L |
| CD Vargas Torres | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| San Antonio FC Cotacachi | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| CD Cuenca Jrs | 0-3 L | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 6 L | 0 W 2 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: 22 de Julio (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
22 de Julio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Club 9 de Octubre Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 18/07 | Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 02/07 | Cumbaya Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 09/06 | Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 06/06 | CD Vargas Torres Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 30/05 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 21/05 | CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
El Nacional
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 15/07 | Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 08/07 | Cumbaya Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 02/07 | Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 11/06 | CD Vargas Torres Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 07/06 | CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-3 | 1-4 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 31/05 | LDU Portoviejo Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 29/05 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador Ecuador Cup |
1-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 24/05 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Club 9 de Octubre Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in 22 de Julio vs El Nacional?
According to our model, the most likely result is a 22 de Julio win (50%). Probabilities: 22 de Julio 50%, draw 28%, El Nacional 21%.
How many goals are expected in 22 de Julio vs El Nacional?
The model expects 2.13 goals (22 de Julio 1.35 · El Nacional 0.78), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in 22 de Julio vs El Nacional?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.