Football · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · 29/07, 22:30
Prediction: Vinotinto Ecuador vs San Antonio FC Cotacachi
Team pages: Vinotinto Ecuador · San Antonio FC Cotacachi
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.56Total
Vinotinto Ecuador1.67
San Antonio FC Cotacachi0.9
1X2
Vinotinto Ecuador
Draw
San Antonio FC Cotacachi
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Vinotinto Ecuador
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
San Antonio FC Cotacachi
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Vinotinto Ecuador
0–4–1
San Antonio FC Cotacachi
(5 last)
- San Antonio FC Cotacachi1-1Vinotinto Ecuador
- Vinotinto Ecuador0-0San Antonio FC Cotacachi
- San Antonio FC Cotacachi1-1Vinotinto Ecuador
- Vinotinto Ecuador0-0San Antonio FC Cotacachi
- San Antonio FC Cotacachi1-0Vinotinto Ecuador
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vinotinto Ecuador 1507 · San Antonio FC Cotacachi 1468
| Vinotinto Ecuador | Draw | San Antonio FC Cotacachi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 27% | 19% |
| Market | 54% | 27% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.56 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Vinotinto Ecuador | San Antonio FC Cotacachi | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1 | 0.8 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 44/44/11% | 22/56/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.3 | 1.3 / 2.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.2 | 4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vinotinto Ecuador 0–4–1 San Antonio FC Cotacachi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/05/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | San Antonio FC Cotacachi | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Vinotinto Ecuador |
| 13/09/24 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Vinotinto Ecuador | 0-0 HT 0-0 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi |
| 23/07/24 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | San Antonio FC Cotacachi | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Vinotinto Ecuador |
| 21/05/24 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Vinotinto Ecuador | 0-0 HT 0-0 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi |
| 27/03/24 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | San Antonio FC Cotacachi | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Vinotinto Ecuador |
Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club 9 de Octubre | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 34 |
| 2 | Independiente Juniors | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 11 | 31 |
| 3 | Atletico FC Guayaquil | 18 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 21 | 13 | 31 |
| 4 | CD Cuenca Jrs | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Vinotinto Ecuador | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 16 | 26 |
| 6 | Cumbaya | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 23 |
| 7 | LDU Portoviejo | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 21 | 22 |
| 8 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi | 18 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 21 |
| 9 | Gualaceo SC | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 11 | 19 |
| 10 | CD Vargas Torres | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 19 |
| 11 | 22 de Julio | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 23 | 9 |
| 12 | El Nacional | 18 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 10 | 29 | 2 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Vinotinto Ecuador | San Antonio FC Cotacachi |
|---|---|---|
| Independiente Juniors | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| El Nacional | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| 22 de Julio | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Gualaceo SC | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Cumbaya | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Atletico FC Guayaquil | 3-0 W | 1-4 L |
| LDU Portoviejo | 0-1 L | 4-2 W |
| CD Cuenca Jrs | 3-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 3 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vinotinto Ecuador
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 15/07 | El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 11/07 | 22 de Julio Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/07 | Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 09/06 | Club 9 de Octubre Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 04/06 | Cumbaya Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 31/05 | Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 27/05 | Orense Ecuador Cup |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | LDU Portoviejo Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 14/05 | CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
San Antonio FC Cotacachi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Cumbaya Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 16/07 | Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 11/07 | CD Vargas Torres Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 03/07 | CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 10/06 | LDU Portoviejo Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
3-1 | 4-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 05/06 | Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 30/05 | 22 de Julio Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 24/05 | El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 21/05 | SD Aucas Ecuador Cup |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vinotinto Ecuador vs San Antonio FC Cotacachi?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Vinotinto Ecuador win (54%). Probabilities: Vinotinto Ecuador 54%, draw 27%, San Antonio FC Cotacachi 19%.
How many goals are expected in Vinotinto Ecuador vs San Antonio FC Cotacachi?
The model expects 2.56 goals (Vinotinto Ecuador 1.67 · San Antonio FC Cotacachi 0.9), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Vinotinto Ecuador vs San Antonio FC Cotacachi?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.