Football · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · 30/07, 02:00
Prediction: CD Vargas Torres vs Club 9 de Octubre
Team pages: CD Vargas Torres · Club 9 de Octubre
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.47Total
CD Vargas Torres0.65
Club 9 de Octubre0.81
1X2
CD Vargas Torres
Draw
Club 9 de Octubre
Markets
Under 1.5 goals 56%
Not both to score 57%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
CD Vargas Torres
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Club 9 de Octubre
3-7-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CD Vargas Torres
0–3–3
Club 9 de Octubre
(6 last)
- Club 9 de Octubre1-0CD Vargas Torres
- Club 9 de Octubre1-1CD Vargas Torres
- CD Vargas Torres1-1Club 9 de Octubre
- Club 9 de Octubre0-0CD Vargas Torres
- CD Vargas Torres0-1Club 9 de Octubre
- Club 9 de Octubre2-0CD Vargas Torres
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Club 9 de Octubre (rating 1462 vs 1541).
- H2H favours Club 9 de Octubre: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CD Vargas Torres | Club 9 de Octubre | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 1 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 22/33/44% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.7 | 2.7 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.1 | 5.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Vargas Torres 0–3–3 Club 9 de Octubre
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Club 9 de Octubre | 1-0 HT 1-0 | CD Vargas Torres |
| 11/07/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Club 9 de Octubre | 1-1 HT 1-1 | CD Vargas Torres |
| 01/05/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | CD Vargas Torres | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Club 9 de Octubre |
| 26/09/24 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Club 9 de Octubre | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CD Vargas Torres |
| 08/08/24 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | CD Vargas Torres | 0-1 | Club 9 de Octubre |
| 26/06/24 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Club 9 de Octubre | 2-0 HT 1-0 | CD Vargas Torres |
Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club 9 de Octubre | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 34 |
| 2 | Independiente Juniors | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 11 | 31 |
| 3 | Atletico FC Guayaquil | 18 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 21 | 13 | 31 |
| 4 | CD Cuenca Jrs | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Vinotinto Ecuador | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 16 | 26 |
| 6 | Cumbaya | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 23 |
| 7 | LDU Portoviejo | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 21 | 22 |
| 8 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi | 18 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 21 |
| 9 | Gualaceo SC | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 11 | 19 |
| 10 | CD Vargas Torres | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 19 |
| 11 | 22 de Julio | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 23 | 9 |
| 12 | El Nacional | 18 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 10 | 29 | 2 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CD Vargas Torres | Club 9 de Octubre |
|---|---|---|
| LDU Portoviejo | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| CD Cuenca Jrs | 0-1 L | 3-3 D |
| Independiente Juniors | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| El Nacional | 0-0 D | 3-1 W |
| 22 de Julio | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Gualaceo SC | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Cumbaya | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Atletico FC Guayaquil | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 3 L | 2 W 6 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Club 9 de Octubre (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CD Vargas Torres
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | LDU Portoviejo Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 17/07 | CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 11/07 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 09/07 | Independiente del Valle Ecuador Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 03/07 | Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 11/06 | El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 06/06 | 22 de Julio Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 23/05 | Cumbaya Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 15/05 | Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
Club 9 de Octubre
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | 22 de Julio Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 16/07 | Cumbaya Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 11/07 | Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 04/07 | LDU Portoviejo Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 09/06 | Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 03/06 | Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 25/05 | Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 22/05 | Manta FC Ecuador Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 17/05 | El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
2-1 | 3-1 | 10 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CD Vargas Torres vs Club 9 de Octubre?
According to our model, the most likely result is a draw (39%). Probabilities: CD Vargas Torres 26%, draw 39%, Club 9 de Octubre 35%.
How many goals are expected in CD Vargas Torres vs Club 9 de Octubre?
The model expects 1.47 goals (CD Vargas Torres 0.65 · Club 9 de Octubre 0.81), with a 57% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in CD Vargas Torres vs Club 9 de Octubre?
The model gives a 57% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.