Prediction: Cumbaya vs CD Cuenca Jrs

Team pages: Cumbaya · CD Cuenca Jrs

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.32Total
Cumbaya1.35
CD Cuenca Jrs0.96
1X2
45% 30% 25%
Cumbaya Draw CD Cuenca Jrs
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Cumbaya 4-5-1 (W-D-L)
WDDWDLWWDD
CD Cuenca Jrs 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
LWDLWLWWWD
Head-to-head
Cumbaya 1–0 CD Cuenca Jrs (1 last)
  • CD Cuenca Jrs0-3Cumbaya
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cumbaya 1539 · CD Cuenca Jrs 1507
CumbayaDrawCD Cuenca Jrs
Our model45%30%25%
Market45%30%26%
Estimated total (ours) 2.32 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CumbayaCD Cuenca Jrs
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 0.31.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.20.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%56/33/11%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 3.91.9 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.2 / 0.35.1 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Cumbaya 100 CD Cuenca Jrs

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
07/05/26
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
CD Cuenca Jrs0-3
HT 0-2
Cumbaya

Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Club 9 de Octubre 18972 201134
2 Independiente Juniors 18873 201131
3 Atletico FC Guayaquil 187101 211331
4 CD Cuenca Jrs 18864 191830
5 Vinotinto Ecuador 18756 231626
6 Cumbaya 18585 191623
7 LDU Portoviejo 18648 152122
8 San Antonio FC Cotacachi 18495 202021
9 Gualaceo SC 18675 131119
10 CD Vargas Torres 18576 131319
11 22 de Julio 184311 9239
12 El Nacional 180513 10292

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCumbayaCD Cuenca Jrs
San Antonio FC Cotacachi 0-0 D 1-0 W
Club 9 de Octubre 0-0 D 3-3 D
El Nacional 1-0 W 4-1 W
22 de Julio 4-0 W 3-0 W
Vinotinto Ecuador 1-1 D 0-3 L
Independiente Juniors 1-0 W 0-4 L
CD Vargas Torres 0-0 D 1-0 W
LDU Portoviejo 1-1 D 1-0 W
Record vs common 3 W 5 D 0 L 5 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: CD Cuenca Jrs (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cumbaya

WDDWDLWWDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/07 San Antonio FC Cotacachi
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-0 0-0 55 D
16/07 Club 9 de Octubre
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-0 0-0 74 D
08/07 El Nacional
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-0 1-0 43 W
02/07 22 de Julio
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
1-0 4-0 W
10/06 Gualaceo SC
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-1 0-1 47 L
04/06 Vinotinto Ecuador
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-1 1-1 46 D
30/05 Independiente Juniors
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
1-0 1-0 13 W
23/05 CD Vargas Torres
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-0 0-0 19 D
13/05 LDU Portoviejo
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
1-0 1-1 76 D
07/05 CD Cuenca Jrs
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
2-0 3-0 27 W

CD Cuenca Jrs

LWDLWLWWWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/07 Atletico FC Guayaquil
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-0 0-0 44 D
17/07 CD Vargas Torres
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
1-0 1-0 44 W
09/07 LDU Portoviejo
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
1-0 1-0 79 W
03/07 San Antonio FC Cotacachi
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
1-0 1-0 44 W
10/06 Independiente Juniors
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-3 0-4 55 L
07/06 El Nacional
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
3-1 4-1 47 W
05/06 Macara
Ecuador Cup
0-0 0-1 65 L
30/05 Club 9 de Octubre
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
2-1 3-3 47 D
21/05 22 de Julio
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
3-0 W
14/05 Vinotinto Ecuador
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-0 0-3 32 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cumbaya vs CD Cuenca Jrs?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cumbaya win (45%). Probabilities: Cumbaya 45%, draw 30%, CD Cuenca Jrs 25%.

How many goals are expected in Cumbaya vs CD Cuenca Jrs?

The model expects 2.32 goals (Cumbaya 1.35 · CD Cuenca Jrs 0.96), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Cumbaya vs CD Cuenca Jrs?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.