Prediction: Olympic Mobiuz vs PFC Terdu
| Olympic Mobiuz | Draw | PFC Terdu | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 20% | 14% |
| Market | 67% | 18% | 15% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Olympic Mobiuz (rating 1535 vs 1414).
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Olympic Mobiuz | PFC Terdu | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.1 | 0.8 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/33/33% | 17/33/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 5.5 | 1 / 2.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.3 | 3.8 / 0 |
Standings · Uzbekistan 1st Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Orol Nukus | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 7 | 26 |
| 2 | Shurtan | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | FC Lochin | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 21 |
| 4 | Metallurg Bekabad | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 8 | 18 |
| 5 | Kattaqorgon | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 18 |
| 6 | Gazalkent | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 15 |
| 7 | Fardu Ferghana | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 19 | 13 |
| 8 | FC Yaypan Fergana | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 13 |
| 9 | Olympic Mobiuz | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 12 |
| 10 | Respublika FA | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 12 |
| 11 | Jayxun | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 8 |
| 12 | BuxDu | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 7 |
| 13 | Pakhtakor Tashkent II | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 4 |
| 14 | PFC Terdu | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 4 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Olympic Mobiuz | PFC Terdu |
|---|---|---|
| Respublika FA | 1-0 W | 2-4 L |
| Metallurg Bekabad | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| BuxDu | 4-1 W | 0-2 L |
| FK Orol Nukus | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Olympic Mobiuz (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Olympic Mobiuz
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | FC Lochin Uzbekistan 1st Division |
1-2 | 2-3 | 12 | 4 | L |
| 14/06 | FC Yaypan Fergana Uzbekistan 1st Division |
1-0 | 6-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 29/05 | Fardu Ferghana Uzbekistan 1st Division |
1-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 14/05 | Respublika FA Uzbekistan Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Mashal Mubarek Uzbekistan Cup |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 04/05 | Kattaqorgon Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 30/04 | Metallurg Bekabad Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 25/04 | BuxDu Uzbekistan 1st Division |
2-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 21/04 | Respublika FA Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 17/04 | FK Orol Nukus Uzbekistan 1st Division |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
PFC Terdu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/06 | BuxDu Uzbekistan 1st Division |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 04/06 | Respublika FA Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 29/05 | FK Orol Nukus Uzbekistan 1st Division |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | Jayxun Uzbekistan Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 11/05 | FC Bunyodkor Uzbekistan Cup |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 06/05 | Gazalkent Uzbekistan 1st Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 29/04 | Shurtan Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Jayxun Uzbekistan 1st Division |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 19/04 | Pakhtakor Tashkent II Uzbekistan 1st Division |
– | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 15/04 | Metallurg Bekabad Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Olympic Mobiuz vs PFC Terdu?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Olympic Mobiuz win (67%). Probabilities: Olympic Mobiuz 67%, draw 19%, PFC Terdu 14%.
How many goals are expected in Olympic Mobiuz vs PFC Terdu?
The model expects 3.24 goals (Olympic Mobiuz 2.28 · PFC Terdu 0.97), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Olympic Mobiuz vs PFC Terdu?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.