Prediction: Sibbov vs ToTe/Tapio
Team pages: Sibbov · ToTe/Tapio
- ToTe/Tapio1-4Sibbov
| Sibbov | Draw | ToTe/Tapio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 14% | 11% |
| Market | 81% | 11% | 8% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sibbov (rating 1552 vs 1432).
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sibbov | ToTe/Tapio | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 2.1 | 1.3 / 3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 1.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 67/33/0% | 11/11/78% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.4 | 2.6 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.4 | 4.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sibbov 1–0–0 ToTe/Tapio
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Finland Kolmonen | ToTe/Tapio | 1-4 HT 0-2 | Sibbov |
Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 3
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Futura | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 45 | 8 | 34 |
| 2 | Sibbov | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 19 | 22 |
| 3 | FC Lahti II | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 20 |
| 4 | RiPS | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 22 | 19 |
| 5 | JäPS/47 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 17 |
| 6 | Atlantis II | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 17 | 17 |
| 7 | TuPS | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 17 | 13 |
| 8 | Gnistan/Ogeli | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 29 | 9 |
| 9 | Ponnistus | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 34 | 8 |
| 10 | ToTe/Tapio | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 33 | 6 |
| 11 | TiPS U21 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 31 | 5 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sibbov | ToTe/Tapio |
|---|---|---|
| Ponnistus | 2-0 W | 2-2 D |
| FC Lahti II | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| TuPS | 6-3 W | 3-1 W |
| RiPS | 3-2 W | 1-5 L |
| Gnistan/Ogeli | 3-1 W | 1-5 L |
| TiPS U21 | 4-2 W | 1-1 D |
| FC Futura | 1-5 L | 2-2 D |
| Atlantis II | 1-2 L | 1-6 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 3 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Sibbov (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sibbov
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Ponnistus Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 24/06 | FC Lahti II Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 17/06 | TuPS Finland Kolmonen |
3-1 | 6-3 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 06/06 | RiPS Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 30/05 | Gnistan/Ogeli Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | TiPS U21 Finland Kolmonen |
4-2 | 4-2 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 15/05 | FC Futura Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | Atlantis II Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | MK United Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | ToTe/Tapio Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
ToTe/Tapio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | TuPS Finland Kolmonen |
3-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 04/07 | RiPS Finland Kolmonen |
1-2 | 1-5 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 12/06 | Atlantis II Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 1-6 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 03/06 | Ponnistus Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 28/05 | TiPS U21 Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 24/05 | FC Lahti II Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 15/05 | Gnistan/Ogeli Finland Kolmonen |
1-2 | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 08/05 | JäPS/47 Finland Kolmonen |
1-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | FC Futura Finland Kolmonen |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 25/04 | Sibbov Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 1-4 | 0 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sibbov vs ToTe/Tapio?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sibbov win (78%). Probabilities: Sibbov 78%, draw 12%, ToTe/Tapio 10%.
How many goals are expected in Sibbov vs ToTe/Tapio?
The model expects 4.74 goals (Sibbov 3.37 · ToTe/Tapio 1.37), with a 51% chance of under 4.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Sibbov vs ToTe/Tapio?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.