Football · Finland Kolmonen · 02/07, 18:00

Prediction: Kumu vs LAUTP II

Expected goals: 3.5 (Kumu 2.01 · LAUTP II 1.49). The model gives 49% home, 22% draw, 28% away. Under 3.5 goals (51%) and both teams to score (59%). Most likely score: 1-1.

On recent form, Kumu is 1-1-8 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and LAUTP II 0-1-9 over its own.

49%1
49% 22% 28%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kumu 1396 · LAUTP II 1389
KumuDrawLAUTP II
Our model49%23%28%
Market50%21%29%
Estimated total (ours) 3.5 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals3.5Kumu 2.01 · LAUTP II 1.49
Over / Under 3.5Under 3.5 · 51%
BTTSYes · 59%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

KumuLAUTP II
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 40.4 / 3.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 2.30.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/0/100%0/60/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 3.80.8 / 1.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.3 / 02.2 / 0.2

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Eastern, Group 3

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 IPS Edustus 11830 261327
2 PeKa 10811 351325
3 Kultsu FC 10721 29723
4 MiPK 10622 241420
5 HaPK 10613 251719
6 LAUTP 11425 242614
7 KJP 10415 171413
8 KoPa 10415 111913
9 MP II 10307 19219
10 Edustus STPS 10217 11207
11 Kumu 10118 10404
12 LAUTP II 10019 4311

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentKumuLAUTP II
LAUTP 2-6 L 1-6 L
Kultsu FC 0-5 L 0-8 L
KoPa 0-2 L 0-1 L
KJP 0-4 L 0-1 L
MP II 2-6 L 2-4 L
IPS Edustus 1-2 L 0-2 L
HaPK 1-5 L 0-0 D
PeKa 0-7 L 1-4 L
Edustus STPS 2-1 W 0-3 L
MiPK 2-2 D 0-2 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 8 L 0 W 1 D 9 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kumu

DWLLLLLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/06 LAUTP
Finland Kolmonen
1-3 2-6 55 L
17/06 Kultsu FC
Finland Kolmonen
0-3 0-5 21 L
13/06 KoPa
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 0-2 52 L
06/06 KJP
Finland Kolmonen
0-4 L
29/05 MP II
Finland Kolmonen
2-6 L
23/05 IPS Edustus
Finland Kolmonen
1-2 L
17/05 HaPK
Finland Kolmonen
1-5 L
07/05 PeKa
Finland Kolmonen
0-2 0-7 31 L
03/05 Edustus STPS
Finland Kolmonen
2-1 W
25/04 MiPK
Finland Kolmonen
2-2 D

LAUTP II

LLLLDLLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/06 Kultsu FC
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 0-8 11 L
18/06 KoPa
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 0-1 34 L
11/06 KJP
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 0-1 12 L
03/06 MP II
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 2-4 14 L
28/05 IPS Edustus
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 0-2 21 L
23/05 HaPK
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 D
13/05 PeKa
Finland Kolmonen
1-4 L
07/05 Edustus STPS
Finland Kolmonen
0-3 L
28/04 MiPK
Finland Kolmonen
0-2 L
22/04 LAUTP
Finland Kolmonen
1-6 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kumu vs LAUTP II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kumu win (49%). Probabilities: Kumu 49%, draw 22%, LAUTP II 28%.

How many goals are expected in Kumu vs LAUTP II?

The model expects 3.5 goals (Kumu 2.01 · LAUTP II 1.49), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Kumu vs LAUTP II?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.