Football · Finland Kolmonen · 13/08, 17:30

Prediction: PeKa vs LAUTP II

Team pages: PeKa · LAUTP II

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.88Total
PeKa3.44
LAUTP II1.44
1X2
85% 8% 7%
PeKa Draw LAUTP II
Markets
Over 4.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
3-1
Recent form · 10 last
PeKa 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
LWWWDWLDWW
LAUTP II 1-1-8 (W-D-L)
DLLLLLLLLW
Head-to-head
PeKa 1–0 LAUTP II (1 last)
  • LAUTP II1-4PeKa
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · PeKa 1571 · LAUTP II 1399
PeKaDrawLAUTP II
Our model75%14%12%
Market93%4%3%
Estimated total (ours) 4.88 goals · Bet365 line 5.25 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 82%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours PeKa (rating 1571 vs 1399).
  • Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

PeKaLAUTP II
Goals for / against (FT)2.6 / 1.80.4 / 2.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.80.3 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/0/50%0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)3.5 / 5.51.3 / 2.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.3 / 0.32.3 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · PeKa 100 LAUTP II

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DateHomeScoreAway
13/05/26
Finland Kolmonen
LAUTP II1-4PeKa

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Eastern, Group 3

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Kultsu FC 141022 421632
2 PeKa 141022 442032
3 IPS Edustus 14932 322030
4 MiPK 14923 421829
5 HaPK 14815 342725
6 KoPa 14626 212820
7 KJP 14617 241919
8 MP II 14608 282818
9 LAUTP 14527 273317
10 Edustus STPS 142210 15318
11 Kumu 142210 18498
12 LAUTP II 141112 6444

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPeKaLAUTP II
Kumu 3-2 W 0-4 L
Kultsu FC 4-1 W 0-8 L
KoPa 2-2 D 0-1 L
KJP 0-2 L 0-1 L
MP II 3-1 W 2-4 L
IPS Edustus 3-3 D 0-2 L
HaPK 4-2 W 0-0 D
LAUTP 3-1 W 0-1 L
Edustus STPS 3-2 W 2-1 W
MiPK 1-2 L 0-7 L
Record vs common 6 W 2 D 2 L 1 W 1 D 8 L

Better against common opponents: PeKa (8 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

PeKa

LWWWDWLDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/08 Kumu
Finland Kolmonen
3-2 W
30/07 Kultsu FC
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 4-1 52 W
23/07 KoPa
Finland Kolmonen
2-1 2-2 97 D
02/07 KJP
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 0-2 68 L
24/06 MP II
Finland Kolmonen
3-1 W
16/06 IPS Edustus
Finland Kolmonen
3-3 D
13/06 HaPK
Finland Kolmonen
4-2 W
04/06 LAUTP
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 3-1 25 W
27/05 Edustus STPS
Finland Kolmonen
3-2 W
22/05 MiPK
Finland Kolmonen
1-2 L

LAUTP II

DLLLLLLLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/08 Edustus STPS
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 2-1 83 W
28/07 MiPK
Finland Kolmonen
0-3 0-7 21 L
25/07 LAUTP
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 L
02/07 Kumu
Finland Kolmonen
0-3 0-4 13 L
25/06 Kultsu FC
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 0-8 11 L
18/06 KoPa
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 0-1 34 L
11/06 KJP
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 0-1 12 L
03/06 MP II
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 2-4 14 L
28/05 IPS Edustus
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 0-2 21 L
23/05 HaPK
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in PeKa vs LAUTP II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a PeKa win (85%). Probabilities: PeKa 85%, draw 8%, LAUTP II 7%.

How many goals are expected in PeKa vs LAUTP II?

The model expects 4.88 goals (PeKa 3.44 · LAUTP II 1.44), with a 55% chance of under 5.25 goals.

Will both teams score in PeKa vs LAUTP II?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.