Prediction: RiPS vs Ponnistus
Team pages: Ponnistus
- Ponnistus3-1RiPS
| RiPS | Draw | Ponnistus | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 16% | 15% |
| Market | 70% | 16% | 15% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours RiPS (rating 1545 vs 1431).
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| RiPS | Ponnistus | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 1.7 | 1.3 / 3.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 1 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 63/13/25% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 4.8 | 1.6 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.6 | 5 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · RiPS 0–0–1 Ponnistus
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Finland Kolmonen | Ponnistus | 3-1 HT 3-0 | RiPS |
Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 3
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Futura | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 8 | 31 |
| 2 | Sibbov | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 19 | 22 |
| 3 | FC Lahti II | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 20 |
| 4 | RiPS | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 22 | 19 |
| 5 | JäPS/47 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 17 |
| 6 | Atlantis II | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 17 | 17 |
| 7 | TuPS | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 16 | 13 |
| 8 | Gnistan/Ogeli | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 29 | 9 |
| 9 | Ponnistus | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 34 | 8 |
| 10 | ToTe/Tapio | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 33 | 6 |
| 11 | TiPS U21 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 31 | 5 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | RiPS | Ponnistus |
|---|---|---|
| FC Futura | 0-2 L | 1-12 L |
| ToTe/Tapio | 5-1 W | 2-2 D |
| TiPS U21 | 4-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Sibbov | 2-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Atlantis II | 2-2 D | 3-5 L |
| JäPS/47 | 4-2 W | 1-4 L |
| FC Lahti II | 3-2 W | 1-2 L |
| TuPS | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Gnistan/Ogeli | 2-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 6 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: RiPS (9 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
RiPS
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | FC Futura Finland Kolmonen |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 04/07 | ToTe/Tapio Finland Kolmonen |
2-1 | 5-1 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 17/06 | TiPS U21 Finland Kolmonen |
3-1 | 4-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 06/06 | Sibbov Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 28/05 | Atlantis II Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 22/05 | JäPS/47 Finland Kolmonen |
1-2 | 4-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | FC Lahti II Finland Kolmonen |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | TuPS Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 03/05 | Gnistan/Ogeli Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Ponnistus Finland Kolmonen |
0-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
Ponnistus
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Sibbov Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 27/06 | TuPS Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 12/06 | Gnistan/Ogeli Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 03/06 | ToTe/Tapio Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 31/05 | JäPS/47 Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 22/05 | FC Futura Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-12 | – | – | L |
| 15/05 | Atlantis II Finland Kolmonen |
– | 3-5 | – | – | L |
| 06/05 | FC Lahti II Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 03/05 | TiPS U21 Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | RiPS Finland Kolmonen |
3-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in RiPS vs Ponnistus?
According to our model, the most likely result is a RiPS win (69%). Probabilities: RiPS 69%, draw 16%, Ponnistus 15%.
How many goals are expected in RiPS vs Ponnistus?
The model expects 4.4 goals (RiPS 3 · Ponnistus 1.4), with a 50% chance of over 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in RiPS vs Ponnistus?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.