Prediction: TP-49 vs Saaksjærven Loiske
Expected goals: 3.54 (TP-49 1.05 · Saaksjærven Loiske 2.49). The model gives 14% home, 17% draw, 69% away. Under 4 goals (55%) and both teams to score (56%). Most likely score: 1-2.
Recent form leaves TP-49 with 0 wins, 1 draws and 9 losses over 10 games; Saaksjærven Loiske has piled up 3-2-5 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for TP-49 and 4 for Saaksjærven Loiske, with 1 draw.
| TP-49 | Draw | Saaksjærven Loiske | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 13% | 19% | 68% |
| Market | 15% | 16% | 70% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Saaksjærven Loiske (rating 1380 vs 1484).
- H2H favours Saaksjærven Loiske: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| TP-49 | Saaksjærven Loiske | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 3.5 | 1.2 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0 / 1.8 | 0.4 / 1.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/0/100% | 11/33/56% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.5 / 2.8 | 2.3 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0 | 4.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · TP-49 1–1–4 Saaksjærven Loiske
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/25 Finland Kolmonen | Saaksjærven Loiske | 1-0 | TP-49 |
| 06/06/25 Finland Kolmonen | TP-49 | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Saaksjærven Loiske |
| 21/09/24 Finland Kolmonen | TP-49 | 1-2 | Saaksjærven Loiske |
| 14/06/24 Finland Kolmonen | Saaksjærven Loiske | 4-0 HT 2-0 | TP-49 |
| 09/09/23 Finland Kolmonen | TP-49 | 5-2 HT 2-0 | Saaksjærven Loiske |
| 31/05/23 Finland Kolmonen | Saaksjærven Loiske | 4-2 HT 0-2 | TP-49 |
Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Lasten | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 47 | 9 | 30 |
| 2 | Tampere Utd II | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 25 |
| 3 | TPV II | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 12 | 22 |
| 4 | NoPS | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 20 |
| 5 | Ylojarvi United | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 19 |
| 6 | FC Haka Juniors | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 15 |
| 7 | Saaksjærven Loiske | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 24 | 11 |
| 8 | FC LeKi | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 19 | 10 |
| 9 | TP-T | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 20 | 8 |
| 10 | Fish United | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 8 |
| 11 | ACE | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 4 |
| 12 | TP-49 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 35 | 1 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | TP-49 | Saaksjærven Loiske |
|---|---|---|
| FC Haka Juniors | 1-3 L | 0-3 L |
| FC Lasten | 0-4 L | 1-10 L |
| TPV II | 0-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Tampere Utd II | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| NoPS | 1-10 L | 1-4 L |
| FC LeKi | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| TP-T | 1-4 L | 2-1 W |
| Fish United | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| ACE | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Ylojarvi United | 0-4 L | 4-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 9 L | 3 W 2 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Saaksjærven Loiske (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
TP-49
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | FC Haka Juniors Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 12/06 | FC Lasten Finland Kolmonen |
– | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 03/06 | TPV II Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 27/05 | Tampere Utd II Finland Kolmonen |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 22/05 | NoPS Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-10 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | FC LeKi Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | TP-T Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 28/04 | Fish United Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | ACE Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | Ylojarvi United Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
Saaksjærven Loiske
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Fish United Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 5 | D |
| 12/06 | ACE Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 05/06 | Ylojarvi United Finland Kolmonen |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/05 | TP-T Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 19/05 | FC Haka Juniors Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 10 | L |
| 16/05 | FC Lasten Finland Kolmonen |
1-6 | 1-10 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 06/05 | TPV II Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 29/04 | Tampere Utd II Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 24/04 | NoPS Finland Kolmonen |
1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | FC LeKi Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in TP-49 vs Saaksjærven Loiske?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Saaksjærven Loiske win (69%). Probabilities: TP-49 14%, draw 17%, Saaksjærven Loiske 69%.
How many goals are expected in TP-49 vs Saaksjærven Loiske?
The model expects 3.54 goals (TP-49 1.05 · Saaksjærven Loiske 2.49), with a 55% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in TP-49 vs Saaksjærven Loiske?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.