Prediction: NoPS vs FC Lasten
Expected goals: 4.36 (NoPS 1.44 · FC Lasten 2.92). The model gives 16% home, 17% draw, 67% away. Over 4 goals (52%) and both teams to score (61%). Most likely score: 1-2.
Over its last 10 matches, NoPS sits at 6-2-2 (W-D-L), while FC Lasten arrives on a 10-0-0 run. In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, NoPS won 0 and FC Lasten 2.
| NoPS | Draw | FC Lasten | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 16% | 17% | 67% |
| Market | 16% | 16% | 67% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Lasten (rating 1545 vs 1640).
- H2H favours FC Lasten: 2-0-0.
- High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| NoPS | FC Lasten | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.9 / 1.5 | 4.7 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 2.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 43/43/14% | 78/11/11% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 5.6 | 3.3 / 6.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0 | 4.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · NoPS 0–0–2 FC Lasten
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07/25 Finland Kolmonen | FC Lasten | 4-0 HT 3-0 | NoPS |
| 24/04/25 Finland Kolmonen | NoPS | 0-2 HT 0-1 | FC Lasten |
Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Lasten | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 47 | 9 | 30 |
| 2 | Tampere Utd II | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 25 |
| 3 | TPV II | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 12 | 22 |
| 4 | NoPS | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 20 |
| 5 | Ylojarvi United | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 19 |
| 6 | FC Haka Juniors | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 15 |
| 7 | Saaksjærven Loiske | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 24 | 11 |
| 8 | FC LeKi | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 19 | 10 |
| 9 | TP-T | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 20 | 8 |
| 10 | Fish United | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 8 |
| 11 | ACE | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 4 |
| 12 | TP-49 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 35 | 1 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | NoPS | FC Lasten |
|---|---|---|
| TPV II | 1-5 L | 1-0 W |
| FC Haka Juniors | 3-0 W | 5-2 W |
| Tampere Utd II | 0-0 D | 4-1 W |
| TP-T | 2-2 D | 4-2 W |
| FC LeKi | 2-0 W | 3-1 W |
| TP-49 | 10-1 W | 4-0 W |
| Fish United | 3-1 W | 6-0 W |
| ACE | 3-2 W | 6-2 W |
| Ylojarvi United | 1-3 L | 4-0 W |
| Saaksjærven Loiske | 4-1 W | 10-1 W |
| Record vs common | 6 W 2 D 2 L | 10 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Lasten (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
NoPS
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | TPV II Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 1-5 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 16/06 | FC Haka Juniors Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 12/06 | Tampere Utd II Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 05/06 | TP-T Finland Kolmonen |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 29/05 | FC LeKi Finland Kolmonen |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 22/05 | TP-49 Finland Kolmonen |
– | 10-1 | – | – | W |
| 14/05 | Fish United Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 08/05 | ACE Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | Ylojarvi United Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 24/04 | Saaksjærven Loiske Finland Kolmonen |
2-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
FC Lasten
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | FC LeKi Finland Kolmonen |
2-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 17/06 | Tampere Utd II Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 12/06 | TP-49 Finland Kolmonen |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/06 | Fish United Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 6-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 29/05 | ACE Finland Kolmonen |
4-2 | 6-2 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 21/05 | Ylojarvi United Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | Saaksjærven Loiske Finland Kolmonen |
6-1 | 10-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 07/05 | FC Haka Juniors Finland Kolmonen |
3-0 | 5-2 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 29/04 | TP-T Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 4-2 | 7 | 10 | W |
| 22/04 | TPV II Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 1-0 | 13 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in NoPS vs FC Lasten?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Lasten win (67%). Probabilities: NoPS 16%, draw 17%, FC Lasten 67%.
How many goals are expected in NoPS vs FC Lasten?
The model expects 4.36 goals (NoPS 1.44 · FC Lasten 2.92), with a 52% chance of over 4 goals.
Will both teams score in NoPS vs FC Lasten?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.