Prediction: ACE vs TP-49
- TP-491-1ACE
- TP-492-1ACE
- ACE2-2TP-49
- TP-492-0ACE
- ACE6-1TP-49
- TP-491-6ACE
| ACE | Draw | TP-49 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 18% | 18% |
| Market | 65% | 16% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| ACE | TP-49 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 3.6 | 0.7 / 3.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 1.7 | 0.3 / 2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/20/70% | 0/0/100% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 2.6 | 0.5 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 4.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · ACE 2–2–2 TP-49
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Finland Kolmonen | TP-49 | 1-1 | ACE |
| 06/09/25 Finland Kolmonen | TP-49 | 2-1 HT 1-1 | ACE |
| 30/05/25 Finland Kolmonen | ACE | 2-2 | TP-49 |
| 10/08/24 Finland Kolmonen | TP-49 | 2-0 HT 1-0 | ACE |
| 10/05/24 Finland Kolmonen | ACE | 6-1 HT 1-1 | TP-49 |
| 26/08/23 Finland Kolmonen | TP-49 | 1-6 HT 1-2 | ACE |
Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Lasten | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 49 | 10 | 34 |
| 2 | TPV II | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 14 | 28 |
| 3 | Tampere Utd II | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 27 |
| 4 | NoPS | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 36 | 16 | 23 |
| 5 | Ylojarvi United | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 18 | 22 |
| 6 | FC LeKi | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 16 |
| 7 | FC Haka Juniors | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 32 | 16 |
| 8 | Saaksjærven Loiske | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 30 | 14 |
| 9 | TP-T | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 24 | 11 |
| 10 | Fish United | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 27 | 11 |
| 11 | ACE | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 39 | 4 |
| 12 | TP-49 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 44 | 1 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | ACE | TP-49 |
|---|---|---|
| Fish United | 2-5 L | 0-2 L |
| TP-T | 1-2 L | 1-4 L |
| Ylojarvi United | 1-3 L | 0-5 L |
| Saaksjærven Loiske | 1-2 L | 3-4 L |
| FC Haka Juniors | 0-5 L | 1-3 L |
| FC Lasten | 2-6 L | 0-4 L |
| TPV II | 1-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Tampere Utd II | 1-4 L | 0-2 L |
| NoPS | 2-3 L | 1-10 L |
| FC LeKi | 5-4 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 9 L | 0 W 0 D 10 L |
Better against common opponents: ACE (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
ACE
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Fish United Finland Kolmonen |
2-3 | 2-5 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 03/07 | TP-T Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 25/06 | Ylojarvi United Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 12/06 | Saaksjærven Loiske Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 02/06 | FC Haka Juniors Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 0-5 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 29/05 | FC Lasten Finland Kolmonen |
2-4 | 2-6 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 20/05 | TPV II Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 15/05 | Tampere Utd II Finland Kolmonen |
0-3 | 1-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 08/05 | NoPS Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 27/04 | FC LeKi Finland Kolmonen |
4-2 | 5-4 | 3 | 2 | W |
TP-49
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Ylojarvi United Finland Kolmonen |
– | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 04/07 | Saaksjærven Loiske Finland Kolmonen |
1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 24/06 | FC Haka Juniors Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 12/06 | FC Lasten Finland Kolmonen |
– | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 03/06 | TPV II Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 27/05 | Tampere Utd II Finland Kolmonen |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 22/05 | NoPS Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-10 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | FC LeKi Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | TP-T Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 28/04 | Fish United Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in ACE vs TP-49?
According to our model, the most likely result is a ACE win (65%). Probabilities: ACE 65%, draw 17%, TP-49 19%.
How many goals are expected in ACE vs TP-49?
The model expects 4.34 goals (ACE 2.83 · TP-49 1.52), with a 50% chance of over 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in ACE vs TP-49?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.