Football · Finland Kolmonen · 31/07, 18:00

Prediction: Saaksjærven Loiske vs NoPS

Team pages: Saaksjærven Loiske · NoPS

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.26Total

Saaksjærven Loiske1.63

NoPS2.63

1X2

22% 19% 59%

Saaksjærven Loiske Draw NoPS

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-2

Recent form · 10 last

Saaksjærven Loiske 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLLLWWWDWL

NoPS 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWDDWLLW

Head-to-head

Saaksjærven Loiske 1–1–4 NoPS (6 last)

NoPS4-1Saaksjærven Loiske
Saaksjærven Loiske4-2NoPS
NoPS3-2Saaksjærven Loiske
Saaksjærven Loiske0-3NoPS
NoPS2-2Saaksjærven Loiske
Saaksjærven Loiske0-4NoPS

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Saaksjærven Loiske 1483 · NoPS 1560

	Saaksjærven Loiske	Draw	NoPS
Our model	22%	19%	58%
Market	22%	19%	59%

Estimated total (ours) 4.26 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NoPS (rating 1483 vs 1560).
H2H favours NoPS: 4-1-1.
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Saaksjærven Loiske	NoPS
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2.4	3.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.4	1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	22/33/44%	43/57/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.9	1.4 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.1	2.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

14.00

X4.75

21.53

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.98

2 (-1)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 41.93

Under 41.88

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 4.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	1.53 → 1.53	Bet365 1.53

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
10:02 +3’	4.00	4.75	1.53

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Saaksjærven Loiske 1–1–4 NoPS

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/04/26 Finland Kolmonen	NoPS	4-1 HT 2-1	Saaksjærven Loiske
12/08/25 Finland Kolmonen	Saaksjærven Loiske	4-2 HT 2-1	NoPS
08/05/25 Finland Kolmonen	NoPS	3-2 HT 2-1	Saaksjærven Loiske
28/09/24 Finland Kolmonen	Saaksjærven Loiske	0-3 HT 0-1	NoPS
28/06/24 Finland Kolmonen	NoPS	2-2 HT 1-1	Saaksjærven Loiske
16/09/23 Finland Kolmonen	Saaksjærven Loiske	0-4 HT 0-1	NoPS

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Lasten	12	11	1	0	49	10	34
2	TPV II	12	9	1	2	28	14	28
3	Tampere Utd II	13	8	3	2	24	14	27
4	NoPS	12	7	2	3	36	16	23
5	Ylojarvi United	12	7	1	4	27	18	22
6	FC LeKi	11	5	1	5	23	21	16
7	FC Haka Juniors	13	5	1	7	27	32	16
8	Saaksjærven Loiske	12	4	2	6	17	30	14
9	TP-T	11	3	2	6	18	24	11
10	Fish United	12	3	2	7	14	27	11
11	ACE	12	1	1	10	18	39	4
12	TP-49	12	0	1	11	8	44	1

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Saaksjærven Loiske	NoPS
FC LeKi	1-3 L	2-0 W
TP-49	4-3 W	10-1 W
Fish United	0-0 D	3-1 W
ACE	2-1 W	3-2 W
TP-T	2-1 W	2-2 D
FC Haka Juniors	0-3 L	7-0 W
FC Lasten	1-10 L	0-1 L
TPV II	0-1 L	1-5 L
Tampere Utd II	0-2 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 5 L	5 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: NoPS (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Saaksjærven Loiske

LLLLWWWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/07	FC LeKi Finland Kolmonen	1-2	1-3	9	3	L
04/07	TP-49 Finland Kolmonen	3-1	4-3	4	1	W
24/06	Fish United Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-0	12	5	D
12/06	ACE Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-1	6	3	W
05/06	Ylojarvi United Finland Kolmonen	–	4-0	–	–	W
28/05	TP-T Finland Kolmonen	1-1	2-1	4	3	W
19/05	FC Haka Juniors Finland Kolmonen	0-2	0-3	6	10	L
16/05	FC Lasten Finland Kolmonen	1-6	1-10	2	4	L
06/05	TPV II Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-1	2	1	L
29/04	Tampere Utd II Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-2	8	3	L

NoPS

WWWWDDWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/07	FC Haka Juniors Finland Kolmonen	3-0	7-0	4	3	W
04/07	FC Lasten Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
24/06	TPV II Finland Kolmonen	1-1	1-5	6	4	L
16/06	FC Haka Juniors Finland Kolmonen	1-0	3-0	2	1	W
12/06	Tampere Utd II Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-0	6	1	D
05/06	TP-T Finland Kolmonen	–	2-2	–	–	D
29/05	FC LeKi Finland Kolmonen	–	2-0	–	–	W
22/05	TP-49 Finland Kolmonen	–	10-1	–	–	W
14/05	Fish United Finland Kolmonen	1-0	3-1	8	4	W
08/05	ACE Finland Kolmonen	1-1	3-2	7	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Saaksjærven Loiske vs NoPS?

According to our model, the most likely result is an NoPS win (59%). Probabilities: Saaksjærven Loiske 22%, draw 19%, NoPS 59%.

How many goals are expected in Saaksjærven Loiske vs NoPS?

The model expects 4.26 goals (Saaksjærven Loiske 1.63 · NoPS 2.63), with a 51% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Saaksjærven Loiske vs NoPS?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.