Prediction: TP-T vs TP-49
- TP-491-4TP-T
- TP-T6-0TP-49
- TP-490-1TP-T
- TP-T6-0TP-49
- TP-T8-2TP-49
- TP-490-4TP-T
| TP-T | Draw | TP-49 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 14% | 11% |
| Market | 85% | 9% | 6% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours TP-T (rating 1514 vs 1372).
- H2H favours TP-T: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| TP-T | TP-49 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.8 | 1.2 / 4.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 2.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 22/44/33% | 0/0/100% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.3 | 0.5 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.1 | 3.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · TP-T 6–0–0 TP-49
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Finland Kolmonen | TP-49 | 1-4 | TP-T |
| 04/10/25 Finland Kolmonen | TP-T | 6-0 HT 3-0 | TP-49 |
| 16/07/25 Finland Kolmonen | TP-49 | 0-1 HT 0-0 | TP-T |
| 02/05/24 Finland Kolmonen | TP-T | 6-0 HT 3-0 | TP-49 |
| 17/08/23 Finland Kolmonen | TP-T | 8-2 HT 4-1 | TP-49 |
| 13/05/23 Finland Kolmonen | TP-49 | 0-4 HT 0-0 | TP-T |
Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Lasten | 14 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 55 | 11 | 40 |
| 2 | TPV II | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 17 | 31 |
| 3 | Tampere Utd II | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 14 | 30 |
| 4 | NoPS | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | Ylojarvi United | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29 | 23 | 23 |
| 6 | FC LeKi | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 17 |
| 7 | FC Haka Juniors | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 37 | 16 |
| 8 | TP-T | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 22 | 28 | 14 |
| 9 | Saaksjærven Loiske | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 34 | 14 |
| 10 | Fish United | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 18 | 37 | 11 |
| 11 | ACE | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 41 | 10 |
| 12 | TP-49 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 14 | 53 | 4 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | TP-T | TP-49 |
|---|---|---|
| FC Lasten | 0-3 L | 0-4 L |
| Fish United | 4-1 W | 6-3 W |
| TPV II | 0-3 L | 0-3 L |
| FC LeKi | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| ACE | 2-1 W | 0-6 L |
| Tampere Utd II | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Ylojarvi United | 3-1 W | 0-5 L |
| NoPS | 2-2 D | 1-10 L |
| Saaksjærven Loiske | 1-2 L | 3-4 L |
| FC Haka Juniors | 1-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 5 L | 1 W 0 D 9 L |
Better against common opponents: TP-T (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
TP-T
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | FC Lasten Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 30/07 | Fish United Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 4-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 22/07 | TPV II Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 17/07 | FC LeKi Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 03/07 | ACE Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 27/06 | Tampere Utd II Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 11/06 | Ylojarvi United Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 05/06 | NoPS Finland Kolmonen |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 28/05 | Saaksjærven Loiske Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 14/05 | FC Haka Juniors Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
TP-49
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Fish United Finland Kolmonen |
– | 6-3 | – | – | W |
| 31/07 | ACE Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 0-6 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 25/07 | Ylojarvi United Finland Kolmonen |
– | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 04/07 | Saaksjærven Loiske Finland Kolmonen |
1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 24/06 | FC Haka Juniors Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 12/06 | FC Lasten Finland Kolmonen |
– | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 03/06 | TPV II Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 27/05 | Tampere Utd II Finland Kolmonen |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 22/05 | NoPS Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-10 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | FC LeKi Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in TP-T vs TP-49?
According to our model, the most likely result is a TP-T win (80%). Probabilities: TP-T 80%, draw 11%, TP-49 8%.
How many goals are expected in TP-T vs TP-49?
The model expects 4.68 goals (TP-T 3.34 · TP-49 1.34), with a 53% chance of under 4.75 goals.
Will both teams score in TP-T vs TP-49?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.