Football · Finland Kolmonen · 14/08, 18:00

Prediction: ACE vs NoPS

Team pages: ACE · NoPS

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.51Total
ACE1.51
NoPS3
1X2
16% 16% 67%
ACE Draw NoPS
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
1-3
Recent form · 10 last
ACE 2-0-8 (W-D-L)
LLLLLLLLWW
NoPS 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WWDDWLLWWW
Head-to-head
ACE 1–2–3 NoPS (6 last)
  • NoPS3-2ACE
  • ACE2-2NoPS
  • NoPS4-2ACE
  • ACE3-0NoPS
  • ACE1-5NoPS
  • NoPS1-1ACE
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ACE 1423 · NoPS 1572
ACEDrawNoPS
Our model16%17%67%
Market16%16%67%
Estimated total (ours) 4.51 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NoPS (rating 1423 vs 1572).
  • H2H favours NoPS: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

ACENoPS
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 3.13.1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 1.41 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/10/70%50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 2.31.5 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.1 / 03 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · ACE 123 NoPS

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DateHomeScoreAway
08/05/26
Finland Kolmonen
NoPS3-2
HT 1-1
ACE
22/08/25
Finland Kolmonen
ACE2-2
HT 2-0
NoPS
15/05/25
Finland Kolmonen
NoPS4-2
HT 3-1
ACE
30/05/24
Finland Kolmonen
ACE3-0
HT 1-0
NoPS
31/08/23
Finland Kolmonen
ACE1-5
HT 0-4
NoPS
26/05/23
Finland Kolmonen
NoPS1-1
HT 0-0
ACE

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 2

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FC Lasten 151410 571243
2 TPV II 141013 341731
3 Tampere Utd II 14932 261430
4 NoPS 14923 421729
5 Ylojarvi United 14725 292323
6 FC LeKi 13526 262617
7 FC Haka Juniors 15519 283916
8 TP-T 13427 222814
9 Saaksjærven Loiske 14428 173414
10 Fish United 14329 183711
11 ACE 143110 284110
12 TP-49 141112 14534

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentACENoPS
FC LeKi 4-2 W 2-0 W
TP-49 6-0 W 10-1 W
TP-T 1-2 L 2-2 D
Ylojarvi United 1-3 L 4-1 W
Saaksjærven Loiske 1-2 L 2-0 W
FC Haka Juniors 0-5 L 7-0 W
FC Lasten 2-6 L 0-1 L
TPV II 1-2 L 1-5 L
Tampere Utd II 1-4 L 0-0 D
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 7 L 5 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: NoPS (7 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ACE

LLLLLLLLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/08 FC LeKi
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 4-2 23 W
31/07 TP-49
Finland Kolmonen
2-0 6-0 32 W
23/07 Fish United
Finland Kolmonen
2-3 2-5 05 L
03/07 TP-T
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 1-2 81 L
25/06 Ylojarvi United
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 1-3 32 L
12/06 Saaksjærven Loiske
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 1-2 33 L
02/06 FC Haka Juniors
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 0-5 03 L
29/05 FC Lasten
Finland Kolmonen
2-4 2-6 27 L
20/05 TPV II
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 1-2 12 L
15/05 Tampere Utd II
Finland Kolmonen
0-3 1-4 13 L

NoPS

WWDDWLLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/08 Ylojarvi United
Finland Kolmonen
4-1 W
31/07 Saaksjærven Loiske
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 2-0 84 W
24/07 FC Haka Juniors
Finland Kolmonen
3-0 7-0 43 W
04/07 FC Lasten
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 0-1 45 L
24/06 TPV II
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 1-5 64 L
16/06 FC Haka Juniors
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 3-0 21 W
12/06 Tampere Utd II
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 0-0 61 D
05/06 TP-T
Finland Kolmonen
2-2 D
29/05 FC LeKi
Finland Kolmonen
2-0 W
22/05 TP-49
Finland Kolmonen
10-1 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ACE vs NoPS?

According to our model, the most likely result is an NoPS win (67%). Probabilities: ACE 16%, draw 16%, NoPS 67%.

How many goals are expected in ACE vs NoPS?

The model expects 4.51 goals (ACE 1.51 · NoPS 3), with a 52% chance of over 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in ACE vs NoPS?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.