Football · Finland Kolmonen · 14/08, 18:00

Prediction: Saaksjærven Loiske vs TPV II

Team pages: Saaksjærven Loiske · TPV II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.66Total

Saaksjærven Loiske1.24

TPV II2.42

1X2

18% 18% 63%

Saaksjærven Loiske Draw TPV II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-2

Recent form · 10 last

Saaksjærven Loiske 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLWWWDWLLL

TPV II 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

DWWWLWWWLW

Head-to-head

Saaksjærven Loiske 3–3 TPV II (6 last)

TPV II1-0Saaksjærven Loiske
TPV II2-0Saaksjærven Loiske
Saaksjærven Loiske1-0TPV II
TPV II1-3Saaksjærven Loiske
Saaksjærven Loiske4-2TPV II
TPV II3-1Saaksjærven Loiske

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Saaksjærven Loiske 1464 · TPV II 1582

	Saaksjærven Loiske	Draw	TPV II
Our model	17%	20%	63%
Market	19%	17%	64%

Estimated total (ours) 3.66 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours TPV II (rating 1464 vs 1582).
High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Saaksjærven Loiske	TPV II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2.5	2.8 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.7	1.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	22/22/56%	67/11/22%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.4	3.3 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.1	4.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

14.75

X5.25

21.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.82

2 (-1.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 41.88

Under 41.93

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 4.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
X	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25
2	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
05:57 +5’	4.75	5.25	1.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Saaksjærven Loiske 3–0–3 TPV II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/05/26 Finland Kolmonen	TPV II	1-0 HT 0-0	Saaksjærven Loiske
04/09/25 Finland Kolmonen	TPV II	2-0 HT 1-0	Saaksjærven Loiske
28/05/25 Finland Kolmonen	Saaksjærven Loiske	1-0 HT 0-0	TPV II
26/08/20 Finland Kolmonen	TPV II	1-3 HT 1-3	Saaksjærven Loiske
30/05/19 Finland Kolmonen	Saaksjærven Loiske	4-2 HT 0-2	TPV II
02/08/17 Finland Kolmonen	TPV II	3-1 HT 2-1	Saaksjærven Loiske

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Lasten	15	14	1	0	57	12	43
2	TPV II	14	10	1	3	34	17	31
3	Tampere Utd II	14	9	3	2	26	14	30
4	NoPS	14	9	2	3	42	17	29
5	Ylojarvi United	14	7	2	5	29	23	23
6	FC LeKi	13	5	2	6	26	26	17
7	FC Haka Juniors	15	5	1	9	28	39	16
8	TP-T	13	4	2	7	22	28	14
9	Saaksjærven Loiske	14	4	2	8	17	34	14
10	Fish United	14	3	2	9	18	37	11
11	ACE	14	3	1	10	28	41	10
12	TP-49	14	1	1	12	14	53	4

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Saaksjærven Loiske	TPV II
Tampere Utd II	0-2 L	3-2 W
NoPS	0-2 L	5-1 W
FC LeKi	1-3 L	2-4 L
TP-49	4-3 W	3-0 W
Fish United	0-0 D	2-1 W
ACE	2-1 W	2-1 W
Ylojarvi United	4-0 W	2-2 D
TP-T	2-1 W	3-0 W
FC Haka Juniors	0-3 L	5-0 W
FC Lasten	1-10 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 5 L	7 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: TPV II (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Saaksjærven Loiske

LLWWWDWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Tampere Utd II Finland Kolmonen	0-2	0-2	2	1	L
31/07	NoPS Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-2	4	4	L
24/07	FC LeKi Finland Kolmonen	1-2	1-3	9	3	L
04/07	TP-49 Finland Kolmonen	3-1	4-3	4	1	W
24/06	Fish United Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-0	12	5	D
12/06	ACE Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-1	6	3	W
05/06	Ylojarvi United Finland Kolmonen	–	4-0	–	–	W
28/05	TP-T Finland Kolmonen	1-1	2-1	4	3	W
19/05	FC Haka Juniors Finland Kolmonen	0-2	0-3	6	10	L
16/05	FC Lasten Finland Kolmonen	1-6	1-10	2	4	L

TPV II

DWWWLWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	FC Haka Juniors Finland Kolmonen	–	5-0	–	–	W
30/07	FC Lasten Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-3	9	7	L
22/07	TP-T Finland Kolmonen	2-0	3-0	2	7	W
04/07	Tampere Utd II Finland Kolmonen	3-1	3-2	1	6	W
24/06	NoPS Finland Kolmonen	1-1	5-1	8	4	W
12/06	FC LeKi Finland Kolmonen	0-1	2-4	3	2	L
03/06	TP-49 Finland Kolmonen	2-0	3-0	15	8	W
28/05	Fish United Finland Kolmonen	2-0	2-1	4	5	W
20/05	ACE Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-1	8	2	W
14/05	Ylojarvi United Finland Kolmonen	1-2	2-2	5	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Saaksjærven Loiske vs TPV II?

According to our model, the most likely result is an TPV II win (63%). Probabilities: Saaksjærven Loiske 18%, draw 18%, TPV II 63%.

How many goals are expected in Saaksjærven Loiske vs TPV II?

The model expects 3.66 goals (Saaksjærven Loiske 1.24 · TPV II 2.42), with a 55% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Saaksjærven Loiske vs TPV II?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.