Football · Finland Kolmonen · 11/09, 18:00

Prediction: FC Kiisto vs Virkia

Team pages: FC Kiisto · Virkia

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.79Total

FC Kiisto2.47

Virkia1.32

1X2

62% 19% 19%

FC Kiisto Draw Virkia

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Kiisto 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWDLWWLLDL

Virkia 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DWLLWWLLDL

Head-to-head

FC Kiisto 2–1–0 Virkia (3 last)

Virkia3-3FC Kiisto
Virkia1-2FC Kiisto
FC Kiisto3-1Virkia

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Kiisto 1474 · Virkia 1467

	FC Kiisto	Draw	Virkia
Our model	62%	20%	18%
Market	62%	19%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 3.79 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FC Kiisto: 2-1-0.
High corners: 13 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Kiisto	Virkia
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.4	1.8 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 1	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/40/60%	33/17/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 7.2	1.8 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0	2.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.44

X4.75

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.88

2 (+1.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.80

Under 3.52.00

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.44 → 1.44	Bet365 1.44
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
08:10 +1’	1.44	4.75	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Kiisto 2–1–0 Virkia

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/06/26 Finland Kolmonen	Virkia	3-3 HT 1-2	FC Kiisto
21/07/21 Finland Kolmonen	Virkia	1-2 HT 1-1	FC Kiisto
15/06/18 Finland Kolmonen	FC Kiisto	3-1 HT 0-0	Virkia

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 3

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	VIFK	17	13	2	2	53	13	41
2	FC Kiisto	18	9	4	5	42	25	31
3	FC Ylivieska	18	9	3	6	42	39	30
4	SIF	17	8	3	6	36	32	27
5	Virkia	17	7	3	7	32	33	24
6	SJK-j	17	6	5	6	27	27	23
7	VPV Pallo-Veikot	17	7	2	8	21	24	23
8	Sporting Kristina	17	6	4	7	26	28	22
9	Nykarleby IK	18	5	4	9	26	41	19
10	LBK	18	6	1	11	26	49	19
11	KPV Akatemia	18	4	1	13	34	54	13

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Kiisto	Virkia
Sporting Kristina	1-2 L	4-4 D
LBK	1-1 D	1-2 L
KPV Akatemia	0-3 L	4-2 W
VPV Pallo-Veikot	1-2 L	0-1 L
SJK-j	2-1 W	1-0 W
SIF	5-1 W	0-5 L
FC Ylivieska	0-1 L	2-3 L
Nykarleby IK	0-0 D	2-1 W
VIFK	1-2 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 5 L	3 W 1 D 5 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Kiisto

LWDLWWLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/09	Sporting Kristina Finland Kolmonen	–	1-2	–	–	L
28/08	LBK Finland Kolmonen	–	1-1	–	–	D
17/08	KPV Akatemia Finland Kolmonen	0-2	0-3	6	0	L
11/08	VPV Pallo-Veikot Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-2	7	2	L
07/08	SJK-j Finland Kolmonen	–	2-1	–	–	W
30/07	SIF Finland Kolmonen	1-1	5-1	4	5	W
23/07	FC Ylivieska Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-1	15	3	L
16/07	Nykarleby IK Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
07/07	FC Ylivieska Finland Kolmonen	–	5-1	–	–	W
25/06	VIFK Finland Kolmonen	–	1-2	–	–	L

Virkia

DWLLWWLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	SIF Finland Kolmonen	–	0-5	–	–	L
29/08	Sporting Kristina Finland Kolmonen	–	4-4	–	–	D
19/08	FC Ylivieska Finland Kolmonen	0-1	2-3	11	3	L
13/08	LBK Finland Kolmonen	–	1-2	–	–	L
08/08	Nykarleby IK Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-1	5	2	W
29/07	KPV Akatemia Finland Kolmonen	1-0	4-2	7	6	W
16/07	VPV Pallo-Veikot Finland Kolmonen	–	0-1	–	–	L
29/06	VIFK Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-3	1	3	L
24/06	SJK-j Finland Kolmonen	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
17/06	FC Kiisto Finland Kolmonen	1-2	3-3	7	1	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Kiisto vs Virkia?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Kiisto win (62%). Probabilities: FC Kiisto 62%, draw 19%, Virkia 19%.

How many goals are expected in FC Kiisto vs Virkia?

The model expects 3.79 goals (FC Kiisto 2.47 · Virkia 1.32), with a 53% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Kiisto vs Virkia?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.