Football · Finland Kolmonen · 11/09, 17:30

Prediction: LOPA vs PPJ/Ruoholahti

Team pages: LOPA · PPJ/Ruoholahti

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.66Total

LOPA2.16

PPJ/Ruoholahti1.5

1X2

52% 22% 26%

LOPA Draw PPJ/Ruoholahti

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

LOPA 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWWLWLWDDL

PPJ/Ruoholahti 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLWLLWLLWL

Head-to-head

LOPA 0–1 PPJ/Ruoholahti (1 last)

PPJ/Ruoholahti3-0LOPA

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · LOPA 1484 · PPJ/Ruoholahti 1453

	LOPA	Draw	PPJ/Ruoholahti
Our model	52%	22%	26%
Market	52%	22%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.66 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	LOPA	PPJ/Ruoholahti
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.8	1.5 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.6	0.6 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 3.1	3.3 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.3	2.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.73

X4.00

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.98

2 (+0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.80

Under 3.252.00

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
06:22 +1’	1.73	4.00	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · LOPA 0–0–1 PPJ/Ruoholahti

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/06/26 Finland Kolmonen	PPJ/Ruoholahti	3-0 HT 0-0	LOPA

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	EIF Academy	18	12	4	2	61	24	40
2	ESPA	18	12	3	3	42	18	39
3	LePa	18	11	3	4	38	29	36
4	Poxyt	18	9	2	7	39	36	29
5	NuPS	18	7	5	6	30	24	26
6	Gilla FC	18	7	3	8	41	38	24
7	LoPa	18	7	3	8	29	31	24
8	GrIFK Reservi	18	7	2	9	33	38	23
9	PPJ/Ruoholahti	18	5	3	10	26	45	18
10	MPS	18	4	4	10	18	32	16
11	HooGee	18	5	1	12	32	48	16
12	EPS Reservi	18	3	5	10	24	50	14

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	LOPA	PPJ/Ruoholahti
HooGee	1-3 L	3-2 W
NuPS	2-2 D	1-6 L
EIF Academy	2-2 D	0-4 L
MPS	2-1 W	1-3 L
LePa	2-3 L	1-3 L
EPS Reservi	4-1 W	5-1 W
ESPA	0-2 L	0-1 L
Gilla FC	3-2 W	0-2 L
Poxyt	2-0 W	2-1 W
GrIFK Reservi	1-2 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 4 L	3 W 0 D 7 L

Better against common opponents: LOPA (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

LOPA

LWWLWLWDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/09	HooGee Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-3	4	4	L
28/08	NuPS Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-2	0	7	D
20/08	EIF Academy Finland Kolmonen	0-1	2-2	4	0	D
12/08	MPS Finland Kolmonen	1-1	2-1	5	2	W
05/08	LePa Finland Kolmonen	1-2	2-3	6	4	L
31/07	EPS Reservi Finland Kolmonen	4-0	4-1	2	2	W
27/07	ESPA Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-2	3	2	L
23/06	Gilla FC Finland Kolmonen	0-1	3-2	4	2	W
16/06	Poxyt Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-0	1	3	W
12/06	GrIFK Reservi Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-2	2	5	L

PPJ/Ruoholahti

LLWLLWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/09	MPS Finland Kolmonen	1-2	1-3	5	2	L
27/08	Poxyt Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-1	4	1	W
20/08	Gilla FC Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-2	8	2	L
16/08	GrIFK Reservi Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-3	6	1	L
06/08	HooGee Finland Kolmonen	1-1	3-2	9	2	W
31/07	ESPA Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-1	1	4	L
27/07	EIF Academy Finland Kolmonen	0-2	0-4	5	1	L
03/07	EPS Reservi Finland Kolmonen	1-1	5-1	4	3	W
25/06	NuPS Finland Kolmonen	1-3	1-6	2	1	L
10/06	LePa Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-3	10	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in LOPA vs PPJ/Ruoholahti?

According to our model, the most likely result is a LOPA win (52%). Probabilities: LOPA 52%, draw 22%, PPJ/Ruoholahti 26%.

How many goals are expected in LOPA vs PPJ/Ruoholahti?

The model expects 3.66 goals (LOPA 2.16 · PPJ/Ruoholahti 1.5), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in LOPA vs PPJ/Ruoholahti?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.