Prediction: KJP vs PeKa
Expected goals: 3.8 (KJP 1.15 · PeKa 2.65). The model gives 14% home, 17% draw, 69% away. Over 3.75 goals (50%) and both teams to score (57%). Most likely score: 1-2.
Over its last 10 matches, KJP sits at 4-1-5 (W-D-L), while PeKa arrives on a 8-1-1 run. In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, KJP won 0 and PeKa 0, with 2 draws.
| KJP | Draw | PeKa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 14% | 18% | 69% |
| Market | 14% | 16% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours PeKa (rating 1483 vs 1596).
- Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| KJP | PeKa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.4 | 3.5 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 1 | 1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/33/33% | 75/0/25% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.8 | 2.5 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0 | 2.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · KJP 0–2–0 PeKa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/25 Finland Kolmonen | KJP | 2-2 | PeKa |
| 30/05/25 Finland Kolmonen | PeKa | 1-1 | KJP |
Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Eastern, Group 3
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IPS Edustus | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 26 | 13 | 27 |
| 2 | PeKa | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 35 | 13 | 25 |
| 3 | Kultsu FC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 29 | 7 | 23 |
| 4 | MiPK | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 20 |
| 5 | HaPK | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 19 |
| 6 | LAUTP | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 26 | 14 |
| 7 | KJP | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 14 | 13 |
| 8 | KoPa | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 13 |
| 9 | MP II | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 21 | 9 |
| 10 | Edustus STPS | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 7 |
| 11 | Kumu | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 40 | 4 |
| 12 | LAUTP II | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 31 | 1 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | KJP | PeKa |
|---|---|---|
| Edustus STPS | 1-3 L | 3-2 W |
| MiPK | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| LAUTP II | 1-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Kumu | 4-0 W | 7-0 W |
| Kultsu FC | 1-3 L | 2-0 W |
| KoPa | 4-0 W | 5-1 W |
| LAUTP | 2-2 D | 3-1 W |
| MP II | 3-1 W | 3-1 W |
| IPS Edustus | 0-1 L | 3-3 D |
| HaPK | 0-1 L | 4-2 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 5 L | 8 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: PeKa (8 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
KJP
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Edustus STPS Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 17/06 | MiPK Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 11/06 | LAUTP II Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 06/06 | Kumu Finland Kolmonen |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/05 | Kultsu FC Finland Kolmonen |
1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 22/05 | KoPa Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 14/05 | LAUTP Finland Kolmonen |
2-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 06/05 | MP II Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | IPS Edustus Finland Kolmonen |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | HaPK Finland Kolmonen |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
PeKa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | MP II Finland Kolmonen |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 16/06 | IPS Edustus Finland Kolmonen |
– | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 13/06 | HaPK Finland Kolmonen |
– | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 04/06 | LAUTP Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 27/05 | Edustus STPS Finland Kolmonen |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 22/05 | MiPK Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 13/05 | LAUTP II Finland Kolmonen |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 07/05 | Kumu Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 7-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 29/04 | Kultsu FC Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 24/04 | KoPa Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 5-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in KJP vs PeKa?
According to our model, the most likely result is an PeKa win (69%). Probabilities: KJP 14%, draw 17%, PeKa 69%.
How many goals are expected in KJP vs PeKa?
The model expects 3.8 goals (KJP 1.15 · PeKa 2.65), with a 50% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in KJP vs PeKa?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.