Football · Finland Kolmonen · 29/07, 18:00

Prediction: LAUTP vs MP II

Team pages: MP II

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.05Total
LAUTP1.99
MP II2.07
1X2
38% 22% 41%
LAUTP Draw MP II
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
LAUTP 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
DDWLLLLWLW
MP II 5-0-5 (W-D-L)
LLLWWLWLWW
Head-to-head
LAUTP 1–1–3 MP II (5 last)
  • MP II0-2LAUTP
  • LAUTP2-2MP II
  • MP II1-0LAUTP
  • MP II6-1LAUTP
  • LAUTP0-1MP II
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · LAUTP 1479 · MP II 1503
LAUTPDrawMP II
Our model38%22%41%
Market38%21%41%
Estimated total (ours) 4.05 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours MP II: 3-1-1.
  • High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

LAUTPMP II
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 2.52.5 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.91 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)29/43/29%43/29/29%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 4.33.3 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 0.12.7 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · LAUTP 113 MP II

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DateHomeScoreAway
29/04/26
Finland Kolmonen
MP II0-2LAUTP
05/09/25
Finland Kolmonen
LAUTP2-2
HT 1-2
MP II
04/06/25
Finland Kolmonen
MP II1-0
HT 0-0
LAUTP
07/08/24
Finland Kolmonen
MP II6-1
HT 3-1
LAUTP
10/05/24
Finland Kolmonen
LAUTP0-1
HT 0-1
MP II

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Eastern, Group 3

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Kultsu FC 12921 36929
2 IPS Edustus 12831 271527
3 PeKa 12822 371726
4 MiPK 12723 311823
5 HaPK 12714 282122
6 LAUTP 12525 252617
7 KoPa 12525 172317
8 KJP 12516 191616
9 MP II 12507 252315
10 Edustus STPS 12219 13287
11 Kumu 12219 15457
12 LAUTP II 120111 4361

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLAUTPMP II
LAUTP II 1-0 W 4-2 W
IPS Edustus 2-6 L 2-1 W
Kumu 6-2 W 6-2 W
HaPK 2-5 L 4-1 W
Kultsu FC 0-3 L 1-2 L
PeKa 1-3 L 1-3 L
KoPa 0-2 L 1-3 L
Edustus STPS 1-0 W 4-0 W
KJP 2-2 D 1-3 L
MiPK 2-2 D 1-2 L
Record vs common 3 W 2 D 5 L 5 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: MP II (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

LAUTP

DDWLLLLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/07 LAUTP II
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 W
01/07 IPS Edustus
Finland Kolmonen
2-6 L
24/06 Kumu
Finland Kolmonen
3-1 6-2 65 W
17/06 HaPK
Finland Kolmonen
0-2 2-5 16 L
10/06 Kultsu FC
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 0-3 33 L
04/06 PeKa
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 1-3 25 L
29/05 KoPa
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 0-2 76 L
20/05 Edustus STPS
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 W
14/05 KJP
Finland Kolmonen
2-2 2-2 72 D
06/05 MiPK
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 2-2 43 D

MP II

LLLWWLWLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/07 IPS Edustus
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 2-1 52 W
03/07 HaPK
Finland Kolmonen
2-0 4-1 41 W
24/06 PeKa
Finland Kolmonen
1-3 L
17/06 Edustus STPS
Finland Kolmonen
2-0 4-0 92 W
12/06 MiPK
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 1-2 54 L
03/06 LAUTP II
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 4-2 114 W
29/05 Kumu
Finland Kolmonen
6-2 W
20/05 Kultsu FC
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 1-2 34 L
15/05 KoPa
Finland Kolmonen
1-3 L
06/05 KJP
Finland Kolmonen
0-2 1-3 92 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in LAUTP vs MP II?

According to our model, the most likely result is an MP II win (41%). Probabilities: LAUTP 38%, draw 22%, MP II 41%.

How many goals are expected in LAUTP vs MP II?

The model expects 4.05 goals (LAUTP 1.99 · MP II 2.07), with a 52% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in LAUTP vs MP II?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.