Football · Finland Kolmonen · 30/07, 17:30

Prediction: PeKa vs Kultsu FC

Team pages: PeKa · Kultsu FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.84Total

PeKa1.68

Kultsu FC2.16

1X2

30% 22% 49%

PeKa Draw Kultsu FC

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

PeKa 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWWWDWLD

Kultsu FC 8-2-0 (W-D-L)

WDWWDWWWWW

Head-to-head

PeKa 3–1–2 Kultsu FC (6 last)

Kultsu FC0-2PeKa
Kultsu FC3-1PeKa
PeKa1-3Kultsu FC
Kultsu FC1-3PeKa
PeKa3-1Kultsu FC
Kultsu FC1-1PeKa

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · PeKa 1566 · Kultsu FC 1584

	PeKa	Draw	Kultsu FC
Our model	29%	22%	48%
Market	30%	21%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 3.84 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours PeKa: 3-1-2.
High corners: 14.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	PeKa	Kultsu FC
Goals for / against (FT)	3 / 1.6	3.5 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.8	1.4 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/0/50%	80/20/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.3	4.1 / 9.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.3	2.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.00

X4.20

21.83

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.88

2 (-0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.90

Under 3.751.90

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 4.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
02:59 +6’	3.00	4.20	1.83

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · PeKa 3–1–2 Kultsu FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/04/26 Finland Kolmonen	Kultsu FC	0-2 HT 0-1	PeKa
15/07/25 Finland Kolmonen	Kultsu FC	3-1 HT 3-1	PeKa
25/04/25 Finland Kolmonen	PeKa	1-3	Kultsu FC
27/06/24 Finland Kolmonen	Kultsu FC	1-3 HT 1-0	PeKa
04/08/23 Finland Kolmonen	PeKa	3-1 HT 0-0	Kultsu FC
21/06/23 Finland Kolmonen	Kultsu FC	1-1 HT 0-1	PeKa

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Eastern, Group 3

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kultsu FC	12	9	2	1	36	9	29
2	IPS Edustus	12	8	3	1	27	15	27
3	MiPK	13	8	2	3	38	18	26
4	PeKa	12	8	2	2	37	17	26
5	HaPK	13	8	1	4	31	22	25
6	LAUTP	12	5	2	5	25	26	17
7	KoPa	13	5	2	6	18	26	17
8	KJP	12	5	1	6	19	16	16
9	MP II	12	5	0	7	25	23	15
10	Edustus STPS	12	2	1	9	13	28	7
11	Kumu	12	2	1	9	15	45	7
12	LAUTP II	13	0	1	12	4	43	1

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	PeKa	Kultsu FC
KoPa	2-2 D	2-2 D
KJP	0-2 L	3-1 W
MP II	3-1 W	2-1 W
IPS Edustus	3-3 D	1-1 D
HaPK	4-2 W	4-0 W
LAUTP	3-1 W	3-0 W
Edustus STPS	3-2 W	4-0 W
MiPK	1-2 L	3-2 W
LAUTP II	4-1 W	8-0 W
Kumu	7-0 W	5-0 W
Record vs common	6 W 2 D 2 L	8 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Kultsu FC (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

PeKa

WWLWWWDWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/07	KoPa Finland Kolmonen	2-1	2-2	9	7	D
02/07	KJP Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-2	6	8	L
24/06	MP II Finland Kolmonen	–	3-1	–	–	W
16/06	IPS Edustus Finland Kolmonen	–	3-3	–	–	D
13/06	HaPK Finland Kolmonen	–	4-2	–	–	W
04/06	LAUTP Finland Kolmonen	0-1	3-1	2	5	W
27/05	Edustus STPS Finland Kolmonen	–	3-2	–	–	W
22/05	MiPK Finland Kolmonen	–	1-2	–	–	L
13/05	LAUTP II Finland Kolmonen	–	4-1	–	–	W
07/05	Kumu Finland Kolmonen	2-0	7-0	4	1	W

Kultsu FC

WDWWDWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/07	Edustus STPS Finland Kolmonen	2-0	4-0	6	1	W
02/07	MiPK Finland Kolmonen	1-1	3-2	3	2	W
25/06	LAUTP II Finland Kolmonen	1-0	8-0	11	1	W
17/06	Kumu Finland Kolmonen	3-0	5-0	16	1	W
10/06	LAUTP Finland Kolmonen	1-0	3-0	13	3	W
05/06	KoPa Finland Kolmonen	2-0	2-2	5	4	D
28/05	KJP Finland Kolmonen	2-1	3-1	11	3	W
20/05	MP II Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-1	15	4	W
13/05	IPS Edustus Finland Kolmonen	0-0	1-1	6	4	D
06/05	HaPK Finland Kolmonen	1-0	4-0	7	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in PeKa vs Kultsu FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Kultsu FC win (49%). Probabilities: PeKa 30%, draw 22%, Kultsu FC 49%.

How many goals are expected in PeKa vs Kultsu FC?

The model expects 3.84 goals (PeKa 1.68 · Kultsu FC 2.16), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in PeKa vs Kultsu FC?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.