Football · Finland Kolmonen · 13/08, 17:30

Prediction: IPS Edustus vs Kultsu FC

Team pages: IPS Edustus · Kultsu FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.1Total

IPS Edustus1.62

Kultsu FC2.48

1X2

24% 20% 56%

IPS Edustus Draw Kultsu FC

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-2

Recent form · 10 last

IPS Edustus 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWWDDWWLWL

Kultsu FC 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWDWWWWWLW

Head-to-head

IPS Edustus 2–1–3 Kultsu FC (6 last)

Kultsu FC1-1IPS Edustus
Kultsu FC3-0IPS Edustus
IPS Edustus0-6Kultsu FC
Kultsu FC4-0IPS Edustus
IPS Edustus2-1Kultsu FC
Kultsu FC2-3IPS Edustus

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IPS Edustus 1536 · Kultsu FC 1585

	IPS Edustus	Draw	Kultsu FC
Our model	24%	20%	56%
Market	24%	20%	56%

Estimated total (ours) 4.1 goals · Bet365 line 4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kultsu FC (rating 1536 vs 1585).
H2H favours Kultsu FC: 3-1-2.
High corners: 15.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IPS Edustus	Kultsu FC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 1.9	3.6 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	1.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	80/10/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 6.2	4 / 9.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.2	2.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.70

X4.50

21.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.85

2 (-1)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 41.95

Under 41.85

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 4.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	1.60 → 1.60	Bet365 1.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
11:04 +4’	3.70	4.50	1.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · IPS Edustus 2–1–3 Kultsu FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/05/26 Finland Kolmonen	Kultsu FC	1-1 HT 0-0	IPS Edustus
27/09/25 Finland Kolmonen	Kultsu FC	3-0	IPS Edustus
25/06/25 Finland Kolmonen	IPS Edustus	0-6	Kultsu FC
25/09/24 Finland Kolmonen	Kultsu FC	4-0 HT 1-0	IPS Edustus
28/06/23 Finland Kolmonen	IPS Edustus	2-1 HT 0-0	Kultsu FC
01/10/22 Finland Kolmonen	Kultsu FC	2-3 HT 1-1	IPS Edustus

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Eastern, Group 3

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kultsu FC	14	10	2	2	42	16	32
2	PeKa	14	10	2	2	44	20	32
3	IPS Edustus	14	9	3	2	32	20	30
4	MiPK	14	9	2	3	42	18	29
5	HaPK	14	8	1	5	34	27	25
6	KoPa	14	6	2	6	21	28	20
7	KJP	14	6	1	7	24	19	19
8	MP II	14	6	0	8	28	28	18
9	LAUTP	14	5	2	7	27	33	17
10	Edustus STPS	14	2	2	10	15	31	8
11	Kumu	14	2	2	10	18	49	8
12	LAUTP II	14	1	1	12	6	44	4

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IPS Edustus	Kultsu FC
KoPa	2-3 L	2-2 D
KJP	3-2 W	3-1 W
MP II	1-2 L	2-1 W
LAUTP	6-2 W	3-0 W
HaPK	3-2 W	5-3 W
PeKa	3-3 D	1-4 L
Edustus STPS	2-2 D	4-0 W
MiPK	3-2 W	3-2 W
LAUTP II	2-0 W	8-0 W
Kumu	2-1 W	5-0 W
Record vs common	6 W 2 D 2 L	8 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Kultsu FC (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

IPS Edustus

WWWDDWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	KoPa Finland Kolmonen	1-1	2-3	4	4	L
29/07	KJP Finland Kolmonen	1-1	3-2	5	4	W
26/07	MP II Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-2	5	2	L
01/07	LAUTP Finland Kolmonen	–	6-2	–	–	W
27/06	HaPK Finland Kolmonen	–	3-2	–	–	W
16/06	PeKa Finland Kolmonen	–	3-3	–	–	D
11/06	Edustus STPS Finland Kolmonen	–	2-2	–	–	D
05/06	MiPK Finland Kolmonen	1-0	3-2	11	5	W
28/05	LAUTP II Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-0	6	1	W
23/05	Kumu Finland Kolmonen	–	2-1	–	–	W

Kultsu FC

WWDWWWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/08	HaPK Finland Kolmonen	2-1	5-3	3	3	W
30/07	PeKa Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-4	8	2	L
09/07	Edustus STPS Finland Kolmonen	2-0	4-0	6	1	W
02/07	MiPK Finland Kolmonen	1-1	3-2	3	2	W
25/06	LAUTP II Finland Kolmonen	1-0	8-0	11	1	W
17/06	Kumu Finland Kolmonen	3-0	5-0	16	1	W
10/06	LAUTP Finland Kolmonen	1-0	3-0	13	3	W
05/06	KoPa Finland Kolmonen	2-0	2-2	5	4	D
28/05	KJP Finland Kolmonen	2-1	3-1	11	3	W
20/05	MP II Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-1	15	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IPS Edustus vs Kultsu FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Kultsu FC win (56%). Probabilities: IPS Edustus 24%, draw 20%, Kultsu FC 56%.

How many goals are expected in IPS Edustus vs Kultsu FC?

The model expects 4.1 goals (IPS Edustus 1.62 · Kultsu FC 2.48), with a 51% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in IPS Edustus vs Kultsu FC?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.