Football · Finland Kolmonen · 18/09, 17:30

Prediction: PeKa vs IPS Edustus

Team pages: PeKa · IPS Edustus

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.38Total
PeKa2.77
IPS Edustus1.61
1X2
62% 18% 21%
PeKa Draw IPS Edustus
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
2-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
PeKa 7-1-2 (W-D-L)
WLDWWWWWWL
IPS Edustus 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
WWLWLWWDLW
Head-to-head
PeKa 3–1–2 IPS Edustus (6 last)
  • IPS Edustus3-3PeKa
  • IPS Edustus4-2PeKa
  • PeKa3-1IPS Edustus
  • PeKa4-0IPS Edustus
  • PeKa0-1IPS Edustus
  • IPS Edustus1-2PeKa
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · PeKa 1569 · IPS Edustus 1534
PeKaDrawIPS Edustus
Our model61%18%20%
Market62%17%21%
Estimated total (ours) 4.38 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours PeKa: 3-1-2.
  • High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

PeKaIPS Edustus
Goals for / against (FT)3.5 / 1.43 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)1.8 / 0.50.5 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)75/0/25%0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)4.3 / 6.33 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4 / 0.33.3 / 0.5

Head-to-head (H2H) · PeKa 312 IPS Edustus

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DateHomeScoreAway
16/06/26
Finland Kolmonen
IPS Edustus3-3PeKa
08/08/25
Finland Kolmonen
IPS Edustus4-2PeKa
09/05/25
Finland Kolmonen
PeKa3-1IPS Edustus
23/07/24
Finland Kolmonen
PeKa4-0
HT 0-0
IPS Edustus
23/09/23
Finland Kolmonen
PeKa0-1
HT 0-0
IPS Edustus
26/05/23
Finland Kolmonen
IPS Edustus1-2
HT 1-0
PeKa

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Eastern, Group 3

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 PeKa 191423 672644
2 Kultsu FC 191324 582841
3 IPS Edustus 191243 473240
4 MiPK 191225 542738
5 KJP 191027 342232
6 HaPK 191018 444031
7 MP II 199010 444027
8 KoPa 197210 284523
9 LAUTP 196310 364821
10 Edustus STPS 195212 254417
11 Kumu 192215 24638
12 LAUTP II 192215 15618

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPeKaIPS Edustus
HaPK 1-2 L 3-2 W
LAUTP 6-2 W 6-2 W
Edustus STPS 6-0 W 5-2 W
MiPK 2-1 W 2-4 L
LAUTP II 8-1 W 3-3 D
Kumu 3-2 W 3-2 W
Kultsu FC 4-1 W 2-1 W
KoPa 2-2 D 2-3 L
KJP 0-2 L 3-2 W
MP II 3-1 W 1-2 L
Record vs common 7 W 1 D 2 L 6 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: PeKa (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

PeKa

WLDWWWWWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/09 HaPK
Finland Kolmonen
1-2 L
02/09 LAUTP
Finland Kolmonen
6-2 W
29/08 Edustus STPS
Finland Kolmonen
6-0 W
20/08 MiPK
Finland Kolmonen
2-1 W
13/08 LAUTP II
Finland Kolmonen
4-0 8-1 50 W
07/08 Kumu
Finland Kolmonen
3-2 W
30/07 Kultsu FC
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 4-1 52 W
23/07 KoPa
Finland Kolmonen
2-1 2-2 97 D
02/07 KJP
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 0-2 68 L
24/06 MP II
Finland Kolmonen
3-1 W

IPS Edustus

WWLWLWWDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/09 Edustus STPS
Finland Kolmonen
5-2 W
03/09 MiPK
Finland Kolmonen
2-4 L
28/08 LAUTP II
Finland Kolmonen
3-3 D
22/08 Kumu
Finland Kolmonen
3-2 W
13/08 Kultsu FC
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 2-1 105 W
07/08 KoPa
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 2-3 44 L
29/07 KJP
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 3-2 54 W
26/07 MP II
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 1-2 52 L
01/07 LAUTP
Finland Kolmonen
6-2 W
27/06 HaPK
Finland Kolmonen
3-2 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in PeKa vs IPS Edustus?

According to our model, the most likely result is a PeKa win (62%). Probabilities: PeKa 62%, draw 18%, IPS Edustus 21%.

How many goals are expected in PeKa vs IPS Edustus?

The model expects 4.38 goals (PeKa 2.77 · IPS Edustus 1.61), with a 53% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in PeKa vs IPS Edustus?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.