Prediction: Sibbov vs TuPS
- TuPS3-6Sibbov
- Sibbov1-4TuPS
| Sibbov | Draw | TuPS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 19% | 23% |
| Market | 57% | 20% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sibbov (rating 1617 vs 1462).
- High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sibbov | TuPS | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 5.1 / 1.5 | 2 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 57/43/0% | 33/11/56% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 6.9 | 2.1 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.4 | 2.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sibbov 1–0–1 TuPS
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06/26 Finland Kolmonen | TuPS | 3-6 HT 1-3 | Sibbov |
| 30/06/18 Finland Kolmonen | Sibbov | 1-4 HT 1-2 | TuPS |
Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 3
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Futura | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 57 | 15 | 44 |
| 2 | Sibbov | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 67 | 27 | 38 |
| 3 | JäPS/47 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 48 | 25 | 33 |
| 4 | RiPS | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 45 | 33 | 29 |
| 5 | FC Lahti II | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 29 | 26 | 28 |
| 6 | Ponnistus | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 31 | 45 | 21 |
| 7 | TuPS | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 32 | 28 | 19 |
| 8 | Gnistan/Ogeli | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 45 | 18 |
| 9 | Atlantis II | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 29 | 58 | 18 |
| 10 | ToTe/Tapio | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 50 | 13 |
| 11 | TiPS U21 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 21 | 55 | 8 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sibbov | TuPS |
|---|---|---|
| RiPS | 4-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Gnistan/Ogeli | 7-2 W | 4-1 W |
| TiPS U21 | 3-0 W | 4-0 W |
| FC Futura | 3-3 D | 0-1 L |
| Atlantis II | 17-0 W | 7-2 W |
| ToTe/Tapio | 4-2 W | 1-3 L |
| Ponnistus | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| FC Lahti II | 2-2 D | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 6 W 2 D 0 L | 3 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Sibbov (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sibbov
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | RiPS Finland Kolmonen |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 05/09 | Gnistan/Ogeli Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 7-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 27/08 | TiPS U21 Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 22/08 | FC Futura Finland Kolmonen |
– | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 15/08 | Atlantis II Finland Kolmonen |
– | 17-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/08 | ToTe/Tapio Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 4-2 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 23/07 | Ponnistus Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 24/06 | FC Lahti II Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 17/06 | TuPS Finland Kolmonen |
3-1 | 6-3 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 06/06 | RiPS Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 7 | W |
TuPS
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | FC Lahti II Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 28/08 | Gnistan/Ogeli Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 4-1 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 20/08 | JäPS/47 Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 14/08 | RiPS Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 05/08 | Atlantis II Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 7-2 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 30/07 | FC Futura Finland Kolmonen |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 24/07 | ToTe/Tapio Finland Kolmonen |
0-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 02/07 | TiPS U21 Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 27/06 | Ponnistus Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 17/06 | Sibbov Finland Kolmonen |
1-3 | 3-6 | 7 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sibbov vs TuPS?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sibbov win (57%). Probabilities: Sibbov 57%, draw 20%, TuPS 23%.
How many goals are expected in Sibbov vs TuPS?
The model expects 4.42 goals (Sibbov 2.69 · TuPS 1.73), with a 50% chance of over 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Sibbov vs TuPS?
The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.