Prediction: Tampere Utd II vs TPV II
Expected goals: 3.01 (Tampere Utd II 1.65 · TPV II 1.37). The model gives 44% home, 24% draw, 32% away. Under 3.5 goals (57%) and both teams to score (56%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Tampere Utd II sits at 8-1-1 (W-D-L), while TPV II arrives on a 7-1-2 run. In the last 2 head-to-head meetings the record reads 2 wins for Tampere Utd II and 0 for TPV II.
| Tampere Utd II | Draw | TPV II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 26% | 31% |
| Market | 45% | 22% | 33% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tampere Utd II (rating 1593 vs 1549).
- H2H favours Tampere Utd II: 2-0-0.
- High corners: 12.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tampere Utd II | TPV II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 0.8 | 2.2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.7 | 0.9 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 57/14/29% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.6 | 3.6 / 7.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 4.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tampere Utd II 2–0–0 TPV II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09/25 Finland Kolmonen | Tampere Utd II | 1-0 HT 1-0 | TPV II |
| 24/06/25 Finland Kolmonen | TPV II | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Tampere Utd II |
Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Lasten | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 47 | 9 | 30 |
| 2 | Tampere Utd II | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 25 |
| 3 | TPV II | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 12 | 22 |
| 4 | NoPS | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 20 |
| 5 | Ylojarvi United | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 19 |
| 6 | FC Haka Juniors | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 15 |
| 7 | Saaksjærven Loiske | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 24 | 11 |
| 8 | FC LeKi | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 19 | 10 |
| 9 | TP-T | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 20 | 8 |
| 10 | Fish United | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 8 |
| 11 | ACE | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 4 |
| 12 | TP-49 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 35 | 1 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tampere Utd II | TPV II |
|---|---|---|
| TP-T | 2-0 W | 3-1 W |
| FC Lasten | 1-4 L | 0-1 L |
| NoPS | 0-0 D | 5-1 W |
| FC LeKi | 2-1 W | 2-4 L |
| TP-49 | 2-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Fish United | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| ACE | 4-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Ylojarvi United | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Saaksjærven Loiske | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| FC Haka Juniors | 3-2 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 8 W 1 D 1 L | 7 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Tampere Utd II (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tampere Utd II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | TP-T Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 17/06 | FC Lasten Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 12/06 | NoPS Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 06/06 | FC LeKi Finland Kolmonen |
2-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 27/05 | TP-49 Finland Kolmonen |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 22/05 | Fish United Finland Kolmonen |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/05 | ACE Finland Kolmonen |
3-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Ylojarvi United Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/04 | Saaksjærven Loiske Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | FC Haka Juniors Finland Kolmonen |
1-2 | 3-2 | 13 | 2 | W |
TPV II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | NoPS Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 5-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 12/06 | FC LeKi Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 03/06 | TP-49 Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 3-0 | 15 | 8 | W |
| 28/05 | Fish United Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 20/05 | ACE Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 14/05 | Ylojarvi United Finland Kolmonen |
1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 06/05 | Saaksjærven Loiske Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 28/04 | FC Haka Juniors Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 2-1 | 12 | 8 | W |
| 22/04 | FC Lasten Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 17/04 | TP-T Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tampere Utd II vs TPV II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tampere Utd II win (44%). Probabilities: Tampere Utd II 44%, draw 24%, TPV II 32%.
How many goals are expected in Tampere Utd II vs TPV II?
The model expects 3.01 goals (Tampere Utd II 1.65 · TPV II 1.37), with a 57% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Tampere Utd II vs TPV II?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.