Football · Finland Kolmonen · 03/07, 17:30

Prediction: KoPa vs Edustus STPS

Expected goals: 3.05 (KoPa 1.85 · Edustus STPS 1.2). The model gives 53% home, 23% draw, 25% away. Under 3.75 goals (59%) and both teams to score (56%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Recent form leaves KoPa with 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses over 10 games; Edustus STPS has piled up 2-1-7 in the same span. In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, KoPa won 0 and Edustus STPS 0, with 2 draws.

53%1
53% 23% 25%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KoPa 1485 · Edustus STPS 1449
KoPaDrawEdustus STPS
Our model52%25%24%
Market54%21%26%
Estimated total (ours) 3.05 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals3.05KoPa 1.85 · Edustus STPS 1.2
Over / Under 3.75Under 3.75 · 59%
BTTSYes · 56%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

KoPaEdustus STPS
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.91.1 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)0.1 / 10 / 2
Half-time result (W/D/L)14/29/57%0/0/100%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 4.11 / 1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.7 / 0.12 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · KoPa 020 Edustus STPS

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DateHomeScoreAway
29/08/25
Finland Kolmonen
KoPa0-0
HT 0-0
Edustus STPS
30/05/25
Finland Kolmonen
Edustus STPS2-2KoPa

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Eastern, Group 3

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 IPS Edustus 11830 261327
2 PeKa 10811 351325
3 Kultsu FC 10721 29723
4 MiPK 10622 241420
5 HaPK 10613 251719
6 LAUTP 11425 242614
7 KJP 10415 171413
8 KoPa 10415 111913
9 MP II 10307 19219
10 Edustus STPS 10217 11207
11 Kumu 10118 10404
12 LAUTP II 10019 4311

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentKoPaEdustus STPS
MiPK 0-4 L 0-2 L
LAUTP II 1-0 W 3-0 W
Kumu 2-0 W 1-2 L
Kultsu FC 2-2 D 0-1 L
LAUTP 2-0 W 0-1 L
KJP 0-4 L 3-1 W
MP II 3-1 W 0-4 L
IPS Edustus 0-1 L 2-2 D
HaPK 0-2 L 0-4 L
PeKa 1-5 L 2-3 L
Record vs common 4 W 1 D 5 L 2 W 1 D 7 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KoPa

LLLWLWDWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 MiPK
Finland Kolmonen
0-2 0-4 65 L
18/06 LAUTP II
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 1-0 104 W
13/06 Kumu
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 2-0 22 W
05/06 Kultsu FC
Finland Kolmonen
0-2 2-2 34 D
29/05 LAUTP
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 2-0 36 W
22/05 KJP
Finland Kolmonen
0-2 0-4 53 L
15/05 MP II
Finland Kolmonen
3-1 W
08/05 IPS Edustus
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 L
29/04 HaPK
Finland Kolmonen
0-2 L
24/04 PeKa
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 1-5 03 L

Edustus STPS

LLWLLLLDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 KJP
Finland Kolmonen
3-1 W
17/06 MP II
Finland Kolmonen
0-2 0-4 12 L
11/06 IPS Edustus
Finland Kolmonen
2-2 D
06/06 HaPK
Finland Kolmonen
0-4 L
27/05 PeKa
Finland Kolmonen
2-3 L
20/05 LAUTP
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 L
16/05 MiPK
Finland Kolmonen
0-2 L
07/05 LAUTP II
Finland Kolmonen
3-0 W
03/05 Kumu
Finland Kolmonen
1-2 L
24/04 Kultsu FC
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KoPa vs Edustus STPS?

According to our model, the most likely result is a KoPa win (53%). Probabilities: KoPa 53%, draw 23%, Edustus STPS 25%.

How many goals are expected in KoPa vs Edustus STPS?

The model expects 3.05 goals (KoPa 1.85 · Edustus STPS 1.2), with a 59% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in KoPa vs Edustus STPS?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.