Prediction: RoPo vs Santa Claus
Team pages: RoPo · Santa Claus
- Santa Claus0-6RoPo
- Santa Claus0-1RoPo
| RoPo | Draw | Santa Claus | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 14% | 11% |
| Market | 82% | 10% | 8% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours RoPo (rating 1522 vs 1424).
- H2H favours RoPo: 2-0-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| RoPo | Santa Claus | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1.8 | 1.1 / 3.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.5 / 0.8 | 0.3 / 3.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/0/50% | 0/0/100% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 6 | 0.7 / 2.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1 / 0.3 | 2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · RoPo 2–0–0 Santa Claus
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/06/26 Finland Kolmonen | Santa Claus | 0-6 HT 0-5 | RoPo |
| 08/08/18 Finland Kolmonen | Santa Claus | 0-1 HT 0-1 | RoPo |
Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, North Group
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kajha | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 58 | 14 | 28 |
| 2 | Villan Pojat | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 25 |
| 3 | KaPa Kajaani | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 43 | 17 | 23 |
| 4 | KePS | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 31 | 18 | 23 |
| 5 | HauPa | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 41 | 19 | 21 |
| 6 | RoPo | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 19 |
| 7 | Ajax Sarkkiranta | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 27 | 16 |
| 8 | Hercules-J | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 20 | 34 | 14 |
| 9 | Santa Claus | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 10 |
| 10 | PonPa | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 82 | 2 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | RoPo | Santa Claus |
|---|---|---|
| KePS | 0-1 L | 0-4 L |
| PonPa | 4-3 W | 4-0 W |
| HauPa | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Villan Pojat | 1-5 L | 0-3 L |
| KaPa Kajaani | 1-5 L | 3-3 D |
| Hercules-J | 1-2 L | 1-5 L |
| Kajha | 3-1 W | 0-8 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 4 L | 1 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: RoPo (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
RoPo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | KePS Finland Kolmonen |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 22/08 | PonPa Finland Kolmonen |
– | 4-3 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | HauPa Finland Kolmonen |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 01/08 | Villan Pojat Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 18/07 | KaPa Kajaani Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 09/07 | Hercules-J Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 13/06 | Kajha Finland Kolmonen |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 04/06 | Santa Claus Finland Kolmonen |
5-0 | 6-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 23/05 | KePS Finland Kolmonen |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | HauPa Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Santa Claus
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | KaPa Kajaani Finland Kolmonen |
– | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 21/08 | Ajax Sarkkiranta Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 15/08 | PonPa Finland Kolmonen |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 05/08 | Hercules-J Finland Kolmonen |
1-5 | 1-5 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 18/07 | Villan Pojat Finland Kolmonen |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | Kajha Finland Kolmonen |
– | 0-8 | – | – | L |
| 24/06 | KePS Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 0-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 13/06 | HauPa Finland Kolmonen |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 04/06 | RoPo Finland Kolmonen |
0-5 | 0-6 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 23/05 | KaPa Kajaani Finland Kolmonen |
– | 0-4 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in RoPo vs Santa Claus?
According to our model, the most likely result is a RoPo win (79%). Probabilities: RoPo 79%, draw 12%, Santa Claus 9%.
How many goals are expected in RoPo vs Santa Claus?
The model expects 4.7 goals (RoPo 3.35 · Santa Claus 1.35), with a 52% chance of under 4.75 goals.
Will both teams score in RoPo vs Santa Claus?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.