Prediction: LBK vs Virkia
- Virkia3-0LBK
| LBK | Draw | Virkia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 20% | 53% |
| Market | 27% | 19% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Virkia (rating 1480 vs 1552).
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| LBK | Virkia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 2.4 | 3.4 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 1.3 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 25/25/50% | 33/22/44% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.4 | 1.9 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0 | 2.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · LBK 0–0–1 Virkia
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 Finland Kolmonen | Virkia | 3-0 | LBK |
Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 3
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VIFK | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 38 | 10 | 32 |
| 2 | FC Kiisto | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 30 |
| 3 | Virkia | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 23 |
| 4 | FC Ylivieska | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 30 | 20 |
| 5 | VPV Pallo-Veikot | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 20 |
| 6 | SIF | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 26 | 18 |
| 7 | SJK-j | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 23 | 16 |
| 8 | Sporting Kristina | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 18 | 15 |
| 9 | LBK | 14 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 21 | 36 | 15 |
| 10 | Nykarleby IK | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 32 | 13 |
| 11 | KPV Akatemia | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 27 | 47 | 7 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | LBK | Virkia |
|---|---|---|
| KPV Akatemia | 3-1 W | 4-2 W |
| VPV Pallo-Veikot | 3-2 W | 0-1 L |
| SJK-j | 4-2 W | 1-0 W |
| SIF | 0-2 L | 3-0 W |
| FC Ylivieska | 1-4 L | 2-1 W |
| Nykarleby IK | 5-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Sääripotku | 1-1 D | 18-0 W |
| VIFK | 0-5 L | 1-3 L |
| FC Kiisto | 0-5 L | 3-3 D |
| Sporting Kristina | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 5 L | 6 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Virkia (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
LBK
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | KPV Akatemia Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 30/07 | VPV Pallo-Veikot Finland Kolmonen |
1-2 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 22/07 | SJK-j Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 4-2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 16/07 | SIF Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 02/07 | FC Ylivieska Finland Kolmonen |
1-3 | 1-4 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 25/06 | Nykarleby IK Finland Kolmonen |
4-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 18/06 | Sääripotku Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 11/06 | VIFK Finland Kolmonen |
– | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 04/06 | FC Kiisto Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 0-5 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 27/05 | Sporting Kristina Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
Virkia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Nykarleby IK Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 29/07 | KPV Akatemia Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 4-2 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 25/07 | Sääripotku Finland Kolmonen |
– | 18-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/07 | VPV Pallo-Veikot Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 29/06 | VIFK Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 24/06 | SJK-j Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 17/06 | FC Kiisto Finland Kolmonen |
1-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 11/06 | SIF Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 06/06 | Sporting Kristina Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 0-2 | 11 | 1 | L |
| 28/05 | FC Ylivieska Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in LBK vs Virkia?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Virkia win (54%). Probabilities: LBK 27%, draw 20%, Virkia 54%.
How many goals are expected in LBK vs Virkia?
The model expects 4.21 goals (LBK 1.74 · Virkia 2.46), with a 50% chance of over 4 goals.
Will both teams score in LBK vs Virkia?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.

