Football · Finland Kolmonen · 13/08, 18:00

Prediction: LBK vs Virkia

Team pages: LBK · Virkia

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.21Total
LBK1.74
Virkia2.46
1X2
27% 20% 54%
LBK Draw Virkia
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
LBK 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
LLLDWLLWWW
Virkia 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
WLWDWLLWWW
Head-to-head
LBK 0–1 Virkia (1 last)
  • Virkia3-0LBK
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · LBK 1480 · Virkia 1552
LBKDrawVirkia
Our model26%20%53%
Market27%19%54%
Estimated total (ours) 4.21 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Virkia (rating 1480 vs 1552).
  • Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

LBKVirkia
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 2.43.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)1.1 / 1.30.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)25/25/50%33/22/44%
Corners (HT / FT)1.3 / 3.41.9 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 02.8 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · LBK 001 Virkia

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
23/05/26
Finland Kolmonen
Virkia3-0LBK

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 3

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 VIFK 131021 381032
2 FC Kiisto 14932 391730
3 Virkia 13724 251923
4 FC Ylivieska 13625 313020
5 VPV Pallo-Veikot 13625 181820
6 SIF 14536 232618
7 SJK-j 14446 212316
8 Sporting Kristina 13436 161815
9 LBK 14509 213615
10 Nykarleby IK 13346 173213
11 KPV Akatemia 142111 27477

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLBKVirkia
KPV Akatemia 3-1 W 4-2 W
VPV Pallo-Veikot 3-2 W 0-1 L
SJK-j 4-2 W 1-0 W
SIF 0-2 L 3-0 W
FC Ylivieska 1-4 L 2-1 W
Nykarleby IK 5-0 W 2-1 W
Sääripotku 1-1 D 18-0 W
VIFK 0-5 L 1-3 L
FC Kiisto 0-5 L 3-3 D
Sporting Kristina 1-2 L 0-2 L
Record vs common 4 W 1 D 5 L 6 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Virkia (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

LBK

LLLDWLLWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 KPV Akatemia
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 3-1 33 W
30/07 VPV Pallo-Veikot
Finland Kolmonen
1-2 3-2 24 W
22/07 SJK-j
Finland Kolmonen
2-0 4-2 13 W
16/07 SIF
Finland Kolmonen
0-2 0-2 45 L
02/07 FC Ylivieska
Finland Kolmonen
1-3 1-4 55 L
25/06 Nykarleby IK
Finland Kolmonen
4-0 5-0 33 W
18/06 Sääripotku
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 D
11/06 VIFK
Finland Kolmonen
0-5 L
04/06 FC Kiisto
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 0-5 25 L
27/05 Sporting Kristina
Finland Kolmonen
0-2 1-2 75 L

Virkia

WLWDWLLWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 Nykarleby IK
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 2-1 52 W
29/07 KPV Akatemia
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 4-2 76 W
25/07 Sääripotku
Finland Kolmonen
18-0 W
16/07 VPV Pallo-Veikot
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 0-1 74 L
29/06 VIFK
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 1-3 13 L
24/06 SJK-j
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 1-0 42 W
17/06 FC Kiisto
Finland Kolmonen
1-2 3-3 71 D
11/06 SIF
Finland Kolmonen
2-0 3-0 33 W
06/06 Sporting Kristina
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 0-2 111 L
28/05 FC Ylivieska
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 2-1 83 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in LBK vs Virkia?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Virkia win (54%). Probabilities: LBK 27%, draw 20%, Virkia 54%.

How many goals are expected in LBK vs Virkia?

The model expects 4.21 goals (LBK 1.74 · Virkia 2.46), with a 50% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in LBK vs Virkia?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.