Football · Finland Kolmonen · 17/09, 19:00

Prediction: PPJ/Ruoholahti vs LePa

Team pages: PPJ/Ruoholahti · LePa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.57Total

PPJ/Ruoholahti1.55

LePa2.02

1X2

29% 22% 48%

PPJ/Ruoholahti Draw LePa

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

PPJ/Ruoholahti 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LWLLWLLWLL

LePa 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LLWWWWWWDL

Head-to-head

PPJ/Ruoholahti 0–1 LePa (1 last)

LePa3-1PPJ/Ruoholahti

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · PPJ/Ruoholahti 1436 · LePa 1547

	PPJ/Ruoholahti	Draw	LePa
Our model	29%	23%	48%
Market	30%	21%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 3.57 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours LePa (rating 1436 vs 1547).
Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	PPJ/Ruoholahti	LePa
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2.5	2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1	0.8 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 4.7	1.6 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0	2.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.00

X4.20

21.83

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.93

2 (-0.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.88

Under 3.51.93

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
04:53 +16’	3.00	4.20	1.83

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · PPJ/Ruoholahti 0–0–1 LePa

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/06/26 Finland Kolmonen	LePa	3-1 HT 1-0	PPJ/Ruoholahti

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	EIF Academy	19	13	4	2	65	26	43
2	ESPA	19	12	3	4	43	21	39
3	LePa	19	11	3	5	38	30	36
4	Poxyt	19	9	2	8	41	40	29
5	Gilla FC	19	8	3	8	46	38	27
6	LOPA	19	8	3	8	31	32	27
7	NuPS	19	7	5	7	30	29	26
8	GrIFK Reservi	19	8	2	9	34	38	26
9	PPJ/Ruoholahti	19	5	3	11	27	47	18
10	MPS	19	4	5	10	21	35	17
11	HooGee	19	5	2	12	35	51	17
12	EPS Reservi	19	4	5	10	27	51	17

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	PPJ/Ruoholahti	LePa
LOPA	1-2 L	3-2 W
MPS	1-3 L	2-0 W
Poxyt	2-1 W	5-1 W
Gilla FC	0-2 L	2-0 W
GrIFK Reservi	2-3 L	0-1 L
HooGee	3-2 W	5-4 W
ESPA	0-1 L	0-2 L
EIF Academy	0-4 L	1-1 D
EPS Reservi	5-1 W	1-2 L
NuPS	1-6 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 7 L	6 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: LePa (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

PPJ/Ruoholahti

LWLLWLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	LOPA Finland Kolmonen	1-1	1-2	3	3	L
04/09	MPS Finland Kolmonen	1-2	1-3	5	2	L
27/08	Poxyt Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-1	4	1	W
20/08	Gilla FC Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-2	8	2	L
16/08	GrIFK Reservi Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-3	6	1	L
06/08	HooGee Finland Kolmonen	1-1	3-2	9	2	W
31/07	ESPA Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-1	1	4	L
27/07	EIF Academy Finland Kolmonen	0-2	0-4	5	1	L
03/07	EPS Reservi Finland Kolmonen	1-1	5-1	4	3	W
25/06	NuPS Finland Kolmonen	1-3	1-6	2	1	L

LePa

LLWWWWWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/09	GrIFK Reservi Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-1	6	3	L
03/09	EIF Academy Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-1	3	2	D
26/08	MPS Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-0	4	4	W
21/08	NuPS Finland Kolmonen	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
13/08	HooGee Finland Kolmonen	2-0	5-4	2	3	W
05/08	LoPa Finland Kolmonen	2-1	3-2	3	4	W
31/07	Poxyt Finland Kolmonen	2-0	5-1	4	2	W
22/07	Gilla FC Finland Kolmonen	0-0	2-0	1	1	W
03/07	ESPA Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-2	3	3	L
24/06	EPS Reservi Finland Kolmonen	0-0	1-2	4	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in PPJ/Ruoholahti vs LePa?

According to our model, the most likely result is an LePa win (48%). Probabilities: PPJ/Ruoholahti 29%, draw 22%, LePa 48%.

How many goals are expected in PPJ/Ruoholahti vs LePa?

The model expects 3.57 goals (PPJ/Ruoholahti 1.55 · LePa 2.02), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in PPJ/Ruoholahti vs LePa?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.