Prediction: NuPS vs GrIFK Reservi
Expected goals: 3.41 (NuPS 1.8 · GrIFK Reservi 1.6). The model gives 42% home, 23% draw, 34% away. Under 3.5 goals (52%) and both teams to score (59%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves NuPS with 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses over 10 games; GrIFK Reservi has piled up 3-2-5 in the same span. In the last 5 head-to-head meetings the record reads 3 wins for NuPS and 2 for GrIFK Reservi.
| NuPS | Draw | GrIFK Reservi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 24% | 34% |
| Market | 43% | 23% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours NuPS: 3-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| NuPS | GrIFK Reservi | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.4 | 2 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 1 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/44/22% | 33/44/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.1 | 2.4 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.3 | 3.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · NuPS 3–0–2 GrIFK Reservi
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08/25 Finland Kolmonen | GrIFK Reservi | 1-0 HT 0-0 | NuPS |
| 03/05/25 Finland Kolmonen | NuPS | 3-0 HT 2-0 | GrIFK Reservi |
| 07/08/24 Finland Kolmonen | GrIFK Reservi | 0-1 HT 0-1 | NuPS |
| 20/09/23 Finland Kolmonen | GrIFK Reservi | 2-0 HT 1-0 | NuPS |
| 16/06/23 Finland Kolmonen | NuPS | 2-0 HT 2-0 | GrIFK Reservi |
Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EIF Academy | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 46 | 19 | 25 |
| 2 | ESPA | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 22 |
| 3 | Poxyt | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 19 |
| 4 | LePa | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 17 |
| 5 | NuPS | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 16 |
| 6 | LoPa | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 17 | 16 |
| 7 | Gilla FC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 14 |
| 8 | MPS | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 12 |
| 9 | GrIFK Reservi | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 21 | 11 |
| 10 | HooGee | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 31 | 10 |
| 11 | EPS Reservi | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 30 | 9 |
| 12 | PPJ/Ruoholahti | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 28 | 9 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | NuPS | GrIFK Reservi |
|---|---|---|
| PPJ/Ruoholahti | 6-1 W | 1-1 D |
| MPS | 2-0 W | 2-4 L |
| Poxyt | 1-2 L | 2-4 L |
| Gilla FC | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| EPS Reservi | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| LoPa | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| LePa | 3-3 D | 4-0 W |
| EIF Academy | 2-0 W | 1-3 L |
| ESPA | 0-2 L | 4-2 W |
| HooGee | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 4 D 3 L | 3 W 2 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: NuPS (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
NuPS
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | PPJ/Ruoholahti Finland Kolmonen |
3-1 | 6-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 17/06 | MPS Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 10/06 | Poxyt Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 07/06 | Gilla FC Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 31/05 | EPS Reservi Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 22/05 | LoPa Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 13/05 | LePa Finland Kolmonen |
– | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 07/05 | EIF Academy Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | ESPA Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 23/04 | HooGee Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
GrIFK Reservi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | ESPA Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 4-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 12/06 | LoPa Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 07/06 | LePa Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 27/05 | Gilla FC Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 21/05 | HooGee Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 13/05 | Poxyt Finland Kolmonen |
– | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 07/05 | PPJ/Ruoholahti Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 03/05 | MPS Finland Kolmonen |
1-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | EIF Academy Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 19/04 | EPS Reservi Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in NuPS vs GrIFK Reservi?
According to our model, the most likely result is a NuPS win (42%). Probabilities: NuPS 42%, draw 23%, GrIFK Reservi 34%.
How many goals are expected in NuPS vs GrIFK Reservi?
The model expects 3.41 goals (NuPS 1.8 · GrIFK Reservi 1.6), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in NuPS vs GrIFK Reservi?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.