Football · Finland Kolmonen · 03/07, 19:00

Prediction: EPS Reservi vs PPJ/Ruoholahti

Expected goals: 4.19 (EPS Reservi 2.26 · PPJ/Ruoholahti 1.93). The model gives 45% home, 22% draw, 33% away. Under 4 goals (51%) and both teams to score (63%). Most likely score: 2-1.

On recent form, EPS Reservi is 2-3-5 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and PPJ/Ruoholahti 2-3-5 over its own. In the last 2 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for EPS Reservi and 1 for PPJ/Ruoholahti.

45%1
45% 22% 33%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · EPS Reservi 1454 · PPJ/Ruoholahti 1456
EPS ReserviDrawPPJ/Ruoholahti
Our model45%21%33%
Market45%22%33%
Estimated total (ours) 4.19 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals4.19EPS Reservi 2.26 · PPJ/Ruoholahti 1.93
Over / Under 4Under 4 · 51%
BTTSYes · 63%
Most likely total4 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

EPS ReserviPPJ/Ruoholahti
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 31.3 / 2.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.90.3 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)25/38/38%0/56/44%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 3.91.9 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.9 / 0.12 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · EPS Reservi 101 PPJ/Ruoholahti

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DateHomeScoreAway
12/09/24
Finland Kolmonen
PPJ/Ruoholahti1-5
HT 0-4
EPS Reservi
08/06/24
Finland Kolmonen
EPS Reservi2-4
HT 0-3
PPJ/Ruoholahti

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 EIF Academy 11812 461925
2 ESPA 10712 281122
3 Poxyt 11614 262219
4 LePa 10523 191917
5 NuPS 11443 191416
6 LoPa 11515 161716
7 Gilla FC 11425 252414
8 MPS 12336 101912
9 GrIFK Reservi 10325 202111
10 HooGee 11317 173110
11 EPS Reservi 10235 16309
12 PPJ/Ruoholahti 10235 13289

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentEPS ReserviPPJ/Ruoholahti
LePa 2-1 W 1-3 L
EIF Academy 2-9 L 2-10 L
MPS 0-0 D 0-0 D
ESPA 2-4 L 1-2 L
NuPS 1-1 D 1-6 L
Gilla FC 1-5 L 2-1 W
HooGee 6-2 W 2-2 D
Poxyt 0-5 L 0-3 L
LoPa 0-1 L 3-0 W
GrIFK Reservi 2-2 D 1-1 D
Record vs common 2 W 3 D 5 L 2 W 3 D 5 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

EPS Reservi

DLLWLDLDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/06 LePa
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 2-1 43 W
17/06 EIF Academy
Finland Kolmonen
2-3 2-9 01 L
14/06 MPS
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 0-0 23 D
05/06 ESPA
Finland Kolmonen
2-4 L
31/05 NuPS
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 1-1 107 D
24/05 Gilla FC
Finland Kolmonen
0-2 1-5 43 L
17/05 HooGee
Finland Kolmonen
3-0 6-2 53 W
09/05 Poxyt
Finland Kolmonen
0-5 L
26/04 LoPa
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 0-1 01 L
19/04 GrIFK Reservi
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 2-2 63 D

PPJ/Ruoholahti

LLDDWLDWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/06 NuPS
Finland Kolmonen
1-3 1-6 21 L
10/06 LePa
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 1-3 104 L
04/06 LoPa
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 3-0 46 W
28/05 MPS
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 0-0 40 D
22/05 Poxyt
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 0-3 41 L
13/05 Gilla FC
Finland Kolmonen
2-1 W
07/05 GrIFK Reservi
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 1-1 42 D
28/04 HooGee
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 2-2 21 D
23/04 ESPA
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 1-2 22 L
17/04 EIF Academy
Finland Kolmonen
1-5 2-10 22 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in EPS Reservi vs PPJ/Ruoholahti?

According to our model, the most likely result is a EPS Reservi win (45%). Probabilities: EPS Reservi 45%, draw 22%, PPJ/Ruoholahti 33%.

How many goals are expected in EPS Reservi vs PPJ/Ruoholahti?

The model expects 4.19 goals (EPS Reservi 2.26 · PPJ/Ruoholahti 1.93), with a 51% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in EPS Reservi vs PPJ/Ruoholahti?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.