Prediction: LePa vs Gilla FC
| LePa | Draw | Gilla FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 22% | 43% |
| Market | 36% | 21% | 43% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| LePa | Gilla FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.7 | 2.1 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 1.3 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 38/38/25% | 56/22/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5 | 2.2 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.1 | 2.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · LePa 0–0–1 Gilla FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 Finland Kolmonen | Gilla FC | 4-1 HT 0-1 | LePa |
Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EIF Academy | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 46 | 19 | 25 |
| 2 | ESPA | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 25 |
| 3 | NuPS | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 19 |
| 4 | Poxyt | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 19 |
| 5 | LePa | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 21 | 17 |
| 6 | LoPa | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 17 | 16 |
| 7 | Gilla FC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 14 |
| 8 | MPS | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 12 |
| 9 | PPJ/Ruoholahti | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 29 | 12 |
| 10 | GrIFK Reservi | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 24 | 11 |
| 11 | HooGee | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 31 | 10 |
| 12 | EPS Reservi | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 35 | 9 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | LePa | Gilla FC |
|---|---|---|
| ESPA | 0-2 L | 1-6 L |
| EPS Reservi | 1-2 L | 5-1 W |
| PPJ/Ruoholahti | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| GrIFK Reservi | 0-4 L | 2-1 W |
| EIF Academy | 3-2 W | 1-3 L |
| MPS | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| NuPS | 3-3 D | 1-1 D |
| HooGee | 3-1 W | 6-3 W |
| LoPa | 3-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Poxyt | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 2 D 3 L | 3 W 2 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: LePa (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
LePa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | ESPA Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 24/06 | EPS Reservi Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 10/06 | PPJ/Ruoholahti Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 07/06 | GrIFK Reservi Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 27/05 | EIF Academy Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 22/05 | MPS Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 13/05 | NuPS Finland Kolmonen |
– | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 06/05 | HooGee Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 03/05 | LoPa Finland Kolmonen |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 22/04 | Poxyt Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
Gilla FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | HooGee Finland Kolmonen |
3-2 | 6-3 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 23/06 | LoPa Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 10/06 | EIF Academy Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 07/06 | NuPS Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 27/05 | GrIFK Reservi Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | EPS Reservi Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 5-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 13/05 | PPJ/Ruoholahti Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 08/05 | ESPA Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 1-6 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 29/04 | Poxyt Finland Kolmonen |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 23/04 | MPS Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in LePa vs Gilla FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Gilla FC win (43%). Probabilities: LePa 36%, draw 22%, Gilla FC 43%.
How many goals are expected in LePa vs Gilla FC?
The model expects 4.13 goals (LePa 1.97 · Gilla FC 2.15), with a 50% chance of over 4 goals.
Will both teams score in LePa vs Gilla FC?
The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.