Football · Finland Kolmonen · 30/07, 18:00

Prediction: EIF Academy vs GrIFK Reservi

Team pages: EIF Academy · GrIFK Reservi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.6Total

EIF Academy3.3

GrIFK Reservi1.3

1X2

81% 11% 8%

EIF Academy Draw GrIFK Reservi

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

3-1

Recent form · 10 last

EIF Academy 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

LWDLWWWWWW

GrIFK Reservi 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LDLLLWWWLL

Head-to-head

EIF Academy 1–2–3 GrIFK Reservi (6 last)

GrIFK Reservi1-3EIF Academy
EIF Academy1-1GrIFK Reservi
GrIFK Reservi1-1EIF Academy
EIF Academy0-1GrIFK Reservi
GrIFK Reservi1-0EIF Academy
EIF Academy2-4GrIFK Reservi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · EIF Academy 1606 · GrIFK Reservi 1451

	EIF Academy	Draw	GrIFK Reservi
Our model	75%	14%	11%
Market	85%	9%	5%

Estimated total (ours) 4.6 goals · Bet365 line 4.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 83%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours EIF Academy (rating 1606 vs 1451).
H2H favours GrIFK Reservi: 3-2-1.
High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	EIF Academy	GrIFK Reservi
Goals for / against (FT)	3.7 / 1.6	1.7 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.8 / 0.8	0.9 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/10/20%	38/25/38%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.9	2.9 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.4	3.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.09

X10.00

217.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-3)1.85

2 (+3)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 4.751.93

Under 4.751.88

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 4.55

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 05:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.10 → 1.10	Bet365 1.10
X	10.00 → 10.00	Bet365 10.00
2	13.00 → 13.00	Bet365 13.00

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 8.6%

Time*	1	X	2
02:49 +16’	1.10	10.00	13.00
04:04 +2’	1.09▼	10.00	17.00▲
04:46 +19’	1.10▲	10.00	13.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · EIF Academy 1–2–3 GrIFK Reservi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Finland Kolmonen	GrIFK Reservi	1-3 HT 1-1	EIF Academy
28/08/25 Finland Kolmonen	EIF Academy	1-1 HT 1-1	GrIFK Reservi
21/05/25 Finland Kolmonen	GrIFK Reservi	1-1 HT 0-0	EIF Academy
05/10/24 Finland Kolmonen	EIF Academy	0-1 HT 0-1	GrIFK Reservi
19/06/24 Finland Kolmonen	GrIFK Reservi	1-0 HT 0-0	EIF Academy
26/09/23 Finland Kolmonen	EIF Academy	2-4 HT 1-1	GrIFK Reservi

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	EIF Academy	12	9	1	2	50	19	28
2	ESPA	12	9	1	2	32	11	28
3	Poxyt	12	7	1	4	28	23	22
4	LePa	12	6	2	4	21	21	20
5	NuPS	12	5	4	3	22	14	19
6	LoPa	12	5	1	6	16	19	16
7	Gilla FC	12	4	2	6	25	26	14
8	MPS	12	3	3	6	10	19	12
9	PPJ/Ruoholahti	12	3	3	6	18	33	12
10	EPS Reservi	12	3	3	6	19	35	12
11	GrIFK Reservi	12	3	2	7	20	26	11
12	HooGee	12	3	1	8	18	33	10

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	EIF Academy	GrIFK Reservi
PPJ/Ruoholahti	4-0 W	1-1 D
MPS	4-0 W	2-4 L
HooGee	4-2 W	1-2 L
EPS Reservi	9-2 W	0-2 L
Gilla FC	3-1 W	1-2 L
Poxyt	7-3 W	2-4 L
LePa	2-3 L	4-0 W
ESPA	1-1 D	4-2 W
LoPa	3-2 W	2-1 W
NuPS	0-2 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	7 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: EIF Academy (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

EIF Academy

LWDLWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/07	PPJ/Ruoholahti Finland Kolmonen	2-0	4-0	4	1	W
01/07	MPS Finland Kolmonen	2-0	4-0	3	4	W
25/06	HooGee Finland Kolmonen	2-1	4-2	3	1	W
17/06	EPS Reservi Finland Kolmonen	3-2	9-2	11	1	W
10/06	Gilla FC Finland Kolmonen	0-1	3-1	9	4	W
05/06	Poxyt Finland Kolmonen	4-2	7-3	3	4	W
27/05	LePa Finland Kolmonen	1-1	2-3	6	4	L
21/05	ESPA Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-1	4	6	D
15/05	LoPa Finland Kolmonen	3-0	3-2	3	1	W
07/05	NuPS Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-2	3	5	L

GrIFK Reservi

LDLLLWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	EPS Reservi Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-2	8	2	L
03/07	NuPS Finland Kolmonen	–	0-3	–	–	L
28/06	ESPA Finland Kolmonen	1-0	4-2	5	5	W
12/06	LoPa Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-1	8	5	W
07/06	LePa Finland Kolmonen	2-0	4-0	4	3	W
27/05	Gilla FC Finland Kolmonen	0-2	1-2	9	5	L
21/05	HooGee Finland Kolmonen	1-1	1-2	8	5	L
13/05	Poxyt Finland Kolmonen	–	2-4	–	–	L
07/05	PPJ/Ruoholahti Finland Kolmonen	1-1	1-1	9	2	D
03/05	MPS Finland Kolmonen	1-3	2-4	2	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in EIF Academy vs GrIFK Reservi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a EIF Academy win (81%). Probabilities: EIF Academy 81%, draw 11%, GrIFK Reservi 8%.

How many goals are expected in EIF Academy vs GrIFK Reservi?

The model expects 4.6 goals (EIF Academy 3.3 · GrIFK Reservi 1.3), with a 54% chance of under 4.75 goals.

Will both teams score in EIF Academy vs GrIFK Reservi?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.