Football · Finland Kolmonen · 03/09, 18:00

Prediction: EIF Academy vs LePa

Team pages: EIF Academy · LePa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.26Total

EIF Academy2.92

LePa1.34

1X2

69% 16% 14%

EIF Academy Draw LePa

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

EIF Academy 8-2-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWDD

LePa 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

LWLLWWWWWW

Head-to-head

EIF Academy 2–1 LePa (3 last)

LePa3-2EIF Academy
LePa0-5EIF Academy
EIF Academy1-0LePa

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · EIF Academy 1610 · LePa 1560

	EIF Academy	Draw	LePa
Our model	69%	17%	14%
Market	69%	16%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 4.26 goals · Bet365 line 4.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours EIF Academy (rating 1610 vs 1560).
H2H favours EIF Academy: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	EIF Academy	LePa
Goals for / against (FT)	3.4 / 0.9	2.2 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.4	0.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	78/11/11%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 6.7	1.7 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0.2	3.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.30

X5.50

26.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.90

2 (+1.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 4.252.00

Under 4.251.80

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 4.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.30 → 1.30	Bet365 1.30
X	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
2	6.25 → 6.25	Bet365 6.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
05:13 +3’	1.30	5.50	6.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · EIF Academy 2–0–1 LePa

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/05/26 Finland Kolmonen	LePa	3-2 HT 1-1	EIF Academy
29/09/22 Finland Kolmonen	LePa	0-5 HT 0-1	EIF Academy
01/07/22 Finland Kolmonen	EIF Academy	1-0 HT 1-0	LePa

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	EIF Academy	17	12	3	2	60	23	39
2	ESPA	17	12	3	2	42	15	39
3	LePa	17	11	2	4	37	28	35
4	Poxyt	17	8	2	7	36	36	26
5	LoPa	17	7	3	7	28	28	24
6	NuPS	17	6	5	6	28	24	23
7	GrIFK Reservi	17	7	2	8	32	31	23
8	Gilla FC	17	6	3	8	34	37	21
9	PPJ/Ruoholahti	17	5	3	9	25	42	18
10	EPS Reservi	17	3	5	9	24	48	14
11	MPS	17	3	4	10	15	31	13
12	HooGee	17	4	1	12	29	47	13

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	EIF Academy	LePa
ESPA	1-1 D	0-2 L
LoPa	2-2 D	3-2 W
NuPS	2-0 W	1-0 W
EPS Reservi	3-0 W	1-2 L
GrIFK Reservi	2-1 W	0-4 L
PPJ/Ruoholahti	4-0 W	3-1 W
MPS	4-0 W	2-0 W
HooGee	4-2 W	5-4 W
Gilla FC	3-1 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	7 W 2 D 0 L	6 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: EIF Academy (7 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

EIF Academy

WWWWWWWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	ESPA Finland Kolmonen	–	1-1	–	–	D
20/08	LoPa Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-2	15	0	D
14/08	NuPS Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-0	3	5	W
06/08	EPS Reservi Finland Kolmonen	1-0	3-0	7	1	W
30/07	GrIFK Reservi Finland Kolmonen	0-0	2-1	5	8	W
27/07	PPJ/Ruoholahti Finland Kolmonen	2-0	4-0	4	1	W
01/07	MPS Finland Kolmonen	2-0	4-0	3	4	W
25/06	HooGee Finland Kolmonen	2-1	4-2	3	1	W
17/06	EPS Reservi Finland Kolmonen	3-2	9-2	11	1	W
10/06	Gilla FC Finland Kolmonen	0-1	3-1	9	4	W

LePa

LWLLWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/08	MPS Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-0	4	4	W
21/08	NuPS Finland Kolmonen	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
13/08	HooGee Finland Kolmonen	2-0	5-4	2	3	W
05/08	LoPa Finland Kolmonen	2-1	3-2	3	4	W
31/07	Poxyt Finland Kolmonen	2-0	5-1	4	2	W
22/07	Gilla FC Finland Kolmonen	0-0	2-0	1	1	W
03/07	ESPA Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-2	3	3	L
24/06	EPS Reservi Finland Kolmonen	0-0	1-2	4	3	L
10/06	PPJ/Ruoholahti Finland Kolmonen	1-0	3-1	7	4	W
07/06	GrIFK Reservi Finland Kolmonen	0-2	0-4	2	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in EIF Academy vs LePa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a EIF Academy win (69%). Probabilities: EIF Academy 69%, draw 16%, LePa 14%.

How many goals are expected in EIF Academy vs LePa?

The model expects 4.26 goals (EIF Academy 2.92 · LePa 1.34), with a 53% chance of under 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in EIF Academy vs LePa?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.