Football · Finland Kolmonen · 22/07, 18:00

Prediction: LBK vs SJK-j

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.63Total
LBK1.18
SJK-j2.45
1X2
17% 18% 65%
LBK Draw SJK-j
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
LBK 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
LWLLLLDWLL
SJK-j 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
WLWDLDDLLW
Head-to-head
LBK 2–1 SJK-j (3 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · LBK 1434 · SJK-j 1487
LBKDrawSJK-j
Our model16%20%65%
Market17%17%66%
Estimated total (ours) 3.63 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SJK-j (rating 1434 vs 1487).
  • H2H favours LBK: 2-0-1.
  • High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

LBKSJK-j
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 2.62.2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 1.50.9 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)17/17/67%25/13/63%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 4.33.8 / 7.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.3 / 02.8 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · LBK 201 SJK-j

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DateHomeScoreAway
03/05/26
Finland Kolmonen
SJK-j2-0
HT 0-0
LBK
24/07/25
Finland Kolmonen
SJK-j0-2
HT 0-1
LBK
03/05/25
Finland Kolmonen
LBK6-3SJK-j

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 3

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 VIFK 121011 44831
2 FC Kiisto 12831 341427
3 SIF 13634 261821
4 FC Ylivieska 12615 372919
5 SJK-j 12534 281718
6 VPV Pallo-Veikot 10523 181417
7 Virkia 11524 191617
8 Nykarleby IK 12444 162716
9 Sporting Kristina 11425 151614
10 KPV Akatemia 11218 27387
11 LBK 12219 12327
12 Sääripotku 10019 4511

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLBKSJK-j
SIF 0-2 L 2-2 D
FC Ylivieska 1-4 L 2-2 D
Nykarleby IK 5-0 W 1-3 L
Sääripotku 1-1 D 10-0 W
VIFK 0-5 L 0-0 D
FC Kiisto 0-5 L 0-2 L
Sporting Kristina 1-2 L 1-0 W
Virkia 0-3 L 0-1 L
KPV Akatemia 2-1 W 6-3 W
VPV Pallo-Veikot 1-3 L 0-2 L
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 7 L 3 W 3 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: SJK-j (8 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

LBK

LWLLLLDWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/07 SIF
Finland Kolmonen
0-2 0-2 45 L
02/07 FC Ylivieska
Finland Kolmonen
1-3 1-4 55 L
25/06 Nykarleby IK
Finland Kolmonen
4-0 5-0 33 W
18/06 Sääripotku
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 D
11/06 VIFK
Finland Kolmonen
0-5 L
04/06 FC Kiisto
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 0-5 25 L
27/05 Sporting Kristina
Finland Kolmonen
0-2 1-2 75 L
23/05 Virkia
Finland Kolmonen
0-3 L
13/05 KPV Akatemia
Finland Kolmonen
2-1 W
07/05 VPV Pallo-Veikot
Finland Kolmonen
1-2 1-3 53 L

SJK-j

WLWDLDDLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/07 KPV Akatemia
Finland Kolmonen
3-1 6-3 62 W
02/07 VPV Pallo-Veikot
Finland Kolmonen
0-2 0-2 44 L
24/06 Virkia
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 0-1 32 L
17/06 SIF
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 2-2 74 D
11/06 FC Ylivieska
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 2-2 65 D
04/06 Nykarleby IK
Finland Kolmonen
0-2 1-3 65 L
23/05 VIFK
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 D
19/05 Sääripotku
Finland Kolmonen
4-0 10-0 150 W
14/05 FC Kiisto
Finland Kolmonen
0-2 0-2 112 L
09/05 Sporting Kristina
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in LBK vs SJK-j?

According to our model, the most likely result is an SJK-j win (65%). Probabilities: LBK 17%, draw 18%, SJK-j 65%.

How many goals are expected in LBK vs SJK-j?

The model expects 3.63 goals (LBK 1.18 · SJK-j 2.45), with a 55% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in LBK vs SJK-j?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.