Football · Finland Kolmonen · 14/08, 17:00

Prediction: NuPS vs EIF Academy

Team pages: NuPS · EIF Academy

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.06Total

NuPS1.51

EIF Academy2.55

1X2

21% 19% 60%

NuPS Draw EIF Academy

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-2

Recent form · 10 last

NuPS 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DDDDLWWWWL

EIF Academy 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

DLWWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

NuPS 2–1–3 EIF Academy (6 last)

EIF Academy0-2NuPS
EIF Academy4-0NuPS
NuPS2-2EIF Academy
EIF Academy0-2NuPS
NuPS0-5EIF Academy
NuPS2-4EIF Academy

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NuPS 1538 · EIF Academy 1606

	NuPS	Draw	EIF Academy
Our model	21%	20%	59%
Market	21%	19%	60%

Estimated total (ours) 4.06 goals · Bet365 line 4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours EIF Academy (rating 1538 vs 1606).
H2H favours EIF Academy: 3-1-2.
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NuPS	EIF Academy
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.5	3.9 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.6	1.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	25/63/13%	70/20/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.4	1.9 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.3	3.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

14.20

X4.75

21.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)1.85

2 (-1.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 41.88

Under 41.93

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 4.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:01

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
05:55 +6’	4.20	4.75	1.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · NuPS 2–1–3 EIF Academy

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
07/05/26 Finland Kolmonen	EIF Academy	0-2 HT 0-1	NuPS
21/08/25 Finland Kolmonen	EIF Academy	4-0 HT 3-0	NuPS
16/05/25 Finland Kolmonen	NuPS	2-2 HT 1-0	EIF Academy
23/08/23 Finland Kolmonen	EIF Academy	0-2 HT 0-0	NuPS
20/08/21 Finland Kolmonen	NuPS	0-5 HT 0-3	EIF Academy
14/08/20 Finland Kolmonen	NuPS	2-4 HT 2-1	EIF Academy

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 1

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	ESPA	15	12	1	2	39	12	37
2	EIF Academy	14	11	1	2	55	20	34
3	LePa	14	8	2	4	29	24	26
4	Poxyt	14	8	1	5	32	29	25
5	NuPS	14	6	4	4	26	19	22
6	LoPa	15	7	1	7	24	24	22
7	Gilla FC	15	5	2	8	30	35	17
8	PPJ/Ruoholahti	14	4	3	7	21	36	15
9	GrIFK Reservi	14	4	2	8	24	28	14
10	MPS	15	3	3	9	13	27	12
11	EPS Reservi	14	3	3	8	20	42	12
12	HooGee	14	3	1	10	23	40	10

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NuPS	EIF Academy
ESPA	0-2 L	1-1 D
HooGee	4-3 W	4-2 W
GrIFK Reservi	3-0 W	2-1 W
PPJ/Ruoholahti	6-1 W	4-0 W
MPS	2-0 W	4-0 W
Poxyt	1-2 L	7-3 W
Gilla FC	1-1 D	3-1 W
EPS Reservi	1-1 D	3-0 W
LePa	3-3 D	2-3 L
Record vs common	4 W 3 D 2 L	7 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: EIF Academy (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NuPS

DDDDLWWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	ESPA Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-2	3	4	L
31/07	HooGee Finland Kolmonen	1-1	4-3	4	4	W
03/07	GrIFK Reservi Finland Kolmonen	–	3-0	–	–	W
25/06	PPJ/Ruoholahti Finland Kolmonen	3-1	6-1	7	1	W
17/06	MPS Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-0	4	4	W
10/06	Poxyt Finland Kolmonen	0-0	1-2	7	1	L
07/06	Gilla FC Finland Kolmonen	1-1	1-1	9	5	D
31/05	EPS Reservi Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-1	5	7	D
22/05	LoPa Finland Kolmonen	1-1	2-2	4	7	D
13/05	LePa Finland Kolmonen	–	3-3	–	–	D

EIF Academy

DLWWWWWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/08	EPS Reservi Finland Kolmonen	1-0	3-0	7	1	W
30/07	GrIFK Reservi Finland Kolmonen	0-0	2-1	5	8	W
27/07	PPJ/Ruoholahti Finland Kolmonen	2-0	4-0	4	1	W
01/07	MPS Finland Kolmonen	2-0	4-0	3	4	W
25/06	HooGee Finland Kolmonen	2-1	4-2	3	1	W
17/06	EPS Reservi Finland Kolmonen	3-2	9-2	11	1	W
10/06	Gilla FC Finland Kolmonen	0-1	3-1	9	4	W
05/06	Poxyt Finland Kolmonen	4-2	7-3	3	4	W
27/05	LePa Finland Kolmonen	1-1	2-3	6	4	L
21/05	ESPA Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-1	4	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NuPS vs EIF Academy?

According to our model, the most likely result is an EIF Academy win (60%). Probabilities: NuPS 21%, draw 19%, EIF Academy 60%.

How many goals are expected in NuPS vs EIF Academy?

The model expects 4.06 goals (NuPS 1.51 · EIF Academy 2.55), with a 51% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in NuPS vs EIF Academy?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.