Football · Finland Kolmonen · 17/09, 18:00

Prediction: EIF Academy vs Gilla FC

Team pages: EIF Academy · Gilla FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.38Total

EIF Academy2.93

Gilla FC1.45

1X2

67% 17% 16%

EIF Academy Draw Gilla FC

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

EIF Academy 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWDDDW

Gilla FC 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWLLWDWW

Head-to-head

EIF Academy 1–0 Gilla FC (1 last)

Gilla FC1-3EIF Academy

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · EIF Academy 1612 · Gilla FC 1514

	EIF Academy	Draw	Gilla FC
Our model	67%	17%	16%
Market	67%	16%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 4.38 goals · Bet365 line 4.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours EIF Academy (rating 1612 vs 1514).
Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	EIF Academy	Gilla FC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 0.9	2.9 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.4	1.2 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	67/11/22%	56/33/11%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.1	1.7 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0.1	3.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.33

X5.50

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.93

2 (+1.75)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.85

Under 4.251.95

Diff.: 0 · xG: 4.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.33	Bet365 1.33
X	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
2	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
03:47 +4’	1.33	5.50	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · EIF Academy 1–0–0 Gilla FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/06/26 Finland Kolmonen	Gilla FC	1-3 HT 1-0	EIF Academy

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	EIF Academy	19	13	4	2	65	26	43
2	ESPA	19	12	3	4	43	21	39
3	LePa	19	11	3	5	38	30	36
4	Poxyt	19	9	2	8	41	40	29
5	Gilla FC	19	8	3	8	46	38	27
6	LOPA	19	8	3	8	31	32	27
7	NuPS	19	7	5	7	30	29	26
8	GrIFK Reservi	19	8	2	9	34	38	26
9	PPJ/Ruoholahti	19	5	3	11	27	47	18
10	MPS	19	4	5	10	21	35	17
11	HooGee	19	5	2	12	35	51	17
12	EPS Reservi	19	4	5	10	27	51	17

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	EIF Academy	Gilla FC
Poxyt	4-2 W	1-3 L
LePa	1-1 D	0-2 L
ESPA	1-1 D	1-4 L
LoPa	2-2 D	2-3 L
NuPS	2-0 W	5-0 W
EPS Reservi	3-0 W	2-2 D
GrIFK Reservi	2-1 W	7-1 W
PPJ/Ruoholahti	4-0 W	2-0 W
MPS	4-0 W	3-2 W
HooGee	4-2 W	6-3 W
Record vs common	7 W 3 D 0 L	5 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: EIF Academy (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

EIF Academy

WWWWWWDDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	Poxyt Finland Kolmonen	1-2	4-2	1	1	W
03/09	LePa Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-1	5	2	D
28/08	ESPA Finland Kolmonen	–	1-1	–	–	D
20/08	LoPa Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-2	15	0	D
14/08	NuPS Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-0	3	5	W
06/08	EPS Reservi Finland Kolmonen	1-0	3-0	7	1	W
30/07	GrIFK Reservi Finland Kolmonen	0-0	2-1	5	8	W
27/07	PPJ/Ruoholahti Finland Kolmonen	2-0	4-0	4	1	W
01/07	MPS Finland Kolmonen	2-0	4-0	3	4	W
25/06	HooGee Finland Kolmonen	2-1	4-2	3	1	W

Gilla FC

LWLWLLWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	NuPS Finland Kolmonen	2-0	5-0	1	7	W
05/09	GrIFK Reservi Finland Kolmonen	1-1	7-1	10	4	W
28/08	EPS Reservi Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-2	6	0	D
20/08	PPJ/Ruoholahti Finland Kolmonen	0-0	2-0	3	2	W
12/08	ESPA Finland Kolmonen	0-3	1-4	8	4	L
08/08	Poxyt Finland Kolmonen	–	1-3	–	–	L
31/07	MPS Finland Kolmonen	3-1	3-2	4	7	W
22/07	LePa Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-2	8	1	L
01/07	HooGee Finland Kolmonen	3-2	6-3	6	1	W
23/06	LOPA Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-3	1	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in EIF Academy vs Gilla FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a EIF Academy win (67%). Probabilities: EIF Academy 67%, draw 17%, Gilla FC 16%.

How many goals are expected in EIF Academy vs Gilla FC?

The model expects 4.38 goals (EIF Academy 2.93 · Gilla FC 1.45), with a 51% chance of over 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in EIF Academy vs Gilla FC?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.