Prediction: KePS vs Kajha
Expected goals: 4.18 (KePS 1.51 · Kajha 2.68). The model gives 20% home, 18% draw, 62% away. Over 4 goals (50%) and both teams to score (61%). Most likely score: 1-2.
Over its last 10 matches, KePS sits at 4-4-2 (W-D-L), while Kajha arrives on a 7-0-3 run. In the last 4 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for KePS and 2 for Kajha, with 1 draw.
| KePS | Draw | Kajha | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 20% | 19% | 62% |
| Market | 20% | 18% | 62% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Kajha: 2-1-1.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| KePS | Kajha | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3 / 1.4 | 3 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 1.3 | 0.3 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/33/33% | 25/0/75% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 4 | 3.3 / 7.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0 | 3.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · KePS 1–1–2 Kajha
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/25 Finland Kolmonen | Kajha | 4-0 | KePS |
| 03/05/25 Finland Kolmonen | KePS | 1-1 | Kajha |
| 09/09/23 Finland Kolmonen | Kajha | 2-0 HT 1-0 | KePS |
| 17/06/23 Finland Kolmonen | KePS | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Kajha |
Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, North Group
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kajha | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 7 | 15 |
| 2 | RoPo | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 4 | 13 |
| 3 | Ajax Sarkkiranta | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 13 |
| 4 | HauPa | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 11 |
| 5 | KePS | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 11 |
| 6 | Villan Pojat | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 9 |
| 7 | KaPa Kajaani | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 11 | 7 |
| 8 | Hercules-J | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 7 |
| 9 | Santa Claus | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 6 |
| 10 | PonPa | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 39 | 2 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | KePS | Kajha |
|---|---|---|
| Ajax Sarkkiranta | 0-3 L | 5-0 W |
| HauPa | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| RoPo | 0-3 L | 1-3 L |
| KaPa Kajaani | 3-2 W | 2-1 W |
| PonPa | 11-0 W | 5-0 W |
| Hercules-J | 1-1 D | 8-0 W |
| Villan Pojat | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| OTP | 6-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 2 L | 6 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Kajha (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
KePS
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Santa Claus Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 18/06 | Ajax Sarkkiranta Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | HauPa Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 23/05 | RoPo Finland Kolmonen |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | KaPa Kajaani Finland Kolmonen |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | PonPa Finland Kolmonen |
– | 11-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | Hercules-J Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 26/03 | RoPo Finland Cup |
2-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 20/09 | Villan Pojat Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 13/09 | OTP Finland Kolmonen |
– | 6-0 | – | – | W |
Kajha
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | HauPa Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 3-2 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | RoPo Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 03/06 | KaPa Kajaani Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 23/05 | PonPa Finland Kolmonen |
– | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | Hercules-J Finland Kolmonen |
– | 8-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | Villan Pojat Finland Kolmonen |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | Ajax Sarkkiranta Finland Kolmonen |
– | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/04 | VPS-J Finland Cup |
0-1 | 0-4 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 28/03 | Komeetat Finland Cup |
1-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 27/09 | OTP Finland Kolmonen |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in KePS vs Kajha?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Kajha win (62%). Probabilities: KePS 20%, draw 18%, Kajha 62%.
How many goals are expected in KePS vs Kajha?
The model expects 4.18 goals (KePS 1.51 · Kajha 2.68), with a 50% chance of over 4 goals.
Will both teams score in KePS vs Kajha?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.